废钞运动对印度经济的影响

R. Chopra
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引用次数: 2

摘要

本文分析了废钞的短期成本和中期收益及其对涉及重大现金交易的经济各部门增长的影响。从观察到的数据可以明显看出,废除纸币对总增加值增长的影响是温和的。虽然总增加值略有收缩,但预计未来几年仍将是正值。一开始,它对制造业和服务业产生了负面影响,在汽车、消费、房地产等各个市场都出现了下行趋势。后来,随着货币再货币化和较低的贷款利率,经济增长通过私人消费、可支配收入和可负担贷款的增加而迅速恢复。随着数字化经济走向无现金社会,将带来更多的系统透明度,减少逃税,从而遏制黑钱用于非法活动和恐怖融资。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Impact of Demonetization on Indian Economy
This paper analyses the short term costs and medium term benefits of demonetization and its Impact on the growth of various sectors of an economy where significant cash transactions are involved. It is evident from observed data that the impact of demonetization on Gross Value Added growth was modest. Although the Gross Value Added contracted marginally, it is projected to be positive in coming years. In the beginning it negatively impacted the segments of manufacturing and service sector showing the downward movement in various markets such as automobiles, consumer, real estate etc. Later with the remonetization and lower lending rates the growth of an economy has been recovering fast through increase in private consumption, disposable income and affordable loan. With digitization economy is moving towards cashless society and will bring more transparency in the system reducing tax evasion thereby curbing the use of black money for illegal activities and terror funding.
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