基于模糊多元分析的国际项目管理方法选择模型

L. Min
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文分析了现有的创建项目管理方法选择决策支持工具的方法,表明目前在项目管理方法选择中使用了许多不同的软件支持方法,其中大多数是多准则决策分析。在本研究中,建议使用模糊多元分析,它的使用将充分确保在选择项目管理方法时考虑到项目度量。在项目管理方法的备选方案中,选择了以下四种方法:级联瀑布方法、螺旋模型、Scrum方法和看板。所有这些都旨在优化项目团队内部的流程,促进和加速产品开发。但是每一种方法都有自己的特点,因为它是在不同的团队中计算的,包括组成和数量,并且以不同的方式适应不同的项目。正确选择一个具体项目的方法的问题是在数据的基础上决定的。本书强调了国际项目中最重要的项目特征:项目参数和要求、沟通工具类型、项目风险评估、团队参数等。共有25项指标。在提出的模型的开发过程中,一个重要的方面是,任务的解决方案由于现有的关于不同方法在不同情况和条件下的适用性的建议的模糊性而变得复杂,特别是对于与软件开发无关且具有国际方向的项目的开发。建议采用问卷调查的方式来解决这一问题。问卷中描述项目的每个参数都被视为一组可能的值。每种方法都是从其应用于问卷问题的具体答案选项的角度来考虑的。基于模糊集的数学装置的应用,解决了给定项目管理方法的信息形式化的任务。同时,隶属度函数决定了该方法对问卷中给出的问题的答案选项对应的参数的适用程度。选出一个专家委员会来确定所有上述方法的适当职能。为了确定最适合给定项目的管理方法,我们估计从项目评估到方法评估的距离。在所有确定模糊集之间距离的方法中,系统根据所考虑问题的性质选择一种或另一种度量。每一种度量都有其优点和缺点,这些优点在应用程序中成为优点。可以使用几个指标来比较结果。在此基础上,构建了“方法论选择”程序模块。在输入所有数据并对其进行处理后,该模块给出了所选项目的最佳国际项目管理方法的名称和信息。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A MODEL FOR THE SELECTION OF THE INTERNATIONAL PROJECT MANAGEMENT METHODOLOGY BASED ON FUZZY-MULTIPLE ANALYSIS
The article analyzes existing approaches to the creation of decision-making support tools for choosing a project management methodology, which showed that currently many different methods are used for software support in choosing a project management methodology, and most of them are multi-criteria decision analysis. In this study, it is proposed to use fuzzy-multiple analysis, the use of which will fully ensure that project metrics are taken into account when choosing a project management methodology. Among the alternatives of project management methodologies, the following four approaches were chosen: cascade Waterfall methodology, Spiral model, Scrum methodology, and Kanban. All of them are aimed at optimizing processes within the project team, facilitating and speeding up product development. But each methodology has its own characteristics, because it is calculated on different teams both in terms of composition and volume, and is adapted to different projects in different ways. The question of the correct selection of the methodology for a specific project is decided on the basis of data about it. The work highlights the characteristics of the project that are most important for international projects: project parameters and requirements, types of communication tools, project risk assessment, team parameters, etc. A total of twenty-five indicators. An important aspect in the development of the proposed model is that the solution to the task is complicated by the vagueness of the existing recommendations regarding the applicability of different methodologies in different cases and conditions, in particular for the development of projects not related to software development and having an international direction. It is proposed to solve this task by using questionnaires. Each parameter that describes the project in the questionnaire is considered as a set of possible values. Each methodology is considered from the point of view of its application for specific options of answers to questionnaire questions. The task of formalizing information for the given project management methodologies is solved, based on the application of the mathematical apparatus of fuzzy sets. At the same time, the membership function determines the degree of applicability of the methodology to the parameter that corresponds to the answer option of the question given in the questionnaire. An expert commission is elected to determine the appropriate functions of all the mentioned approaches. To determine the management approach that is most suitable for a given project, we estimate the distance from the project assessment to the methodology assessment. Of all the ways to determine the distances between fuzzy sets, the system chooses one or another metric, depending on the nature of the problem under consideration. Each of these metrics has its advantages and disadvantages, which become advantages in applications. It is possible to use several metrics to compare results. Based on the developed model, the program module "Methodology Selection" was created. This module, after entering all the data and processing it, gives the name and information about the international project management methodology that is optimal for the chosen project.
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