癌症的坏运气——还是被误解的统计数据?

J. Stare
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引用次数: 1

摘要

《科学》杂志(2015年1月)上的一篇论文声称,大多数癌症(准确地说是65%)是由于运气不好,因此是不可预防的。在本文中,我们表明,在本文中提出的分析,绝对没有理由作出这样的主张。与此同时,其中一些论点出现在其他地方,但有些则没有。我们还表明,作者的假设和他们的数据只能支持不超过5%的癌症是随机的说法。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Bad luck of cancer – or misinterpreted statistics?
A paper in Science (January 2015) claimed that the majority, 65% to be precise, of cancers is due to bad luck, so non-preventable. In this paper we show that the analyses, presented in the paper, give absolutely no grounds to make such a claim. Some of the arguments have in the meantime appeared elsewhere, but some have not. We also show that the authors' assumptions and their data can only support a claim of no more than 5% of cancers being random.
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