{"title":"癌症的坏运气——还是被误解的统计数据?","authors":"J. Stare","doi":"10.51936/tvcb8684","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"A paper in Science (January 2015) claimed that the majority, 65% to be precise, of cancers is due to bad luck, so non-preventable. In this paper we show that the analyses, presented in the paper, give absolutely no grounds to make such a claim. Some of the arguments have in the meantime appeared elsewhere, but some have not. We also show that the authors' assumptions and their data can only support a claim of no more than 5% of cancers being random.","PeriodicalId":242585,"journal":{"name":"Advances in Methodology and Statistics","volume":"7 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2017-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"1","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Bad luck of cancer – or misinterpreted statistics?\",\"authors\":\"J. Stare\",\"doi\":\"10.51936/tvcb8684\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"A paper in Science (January 2015) claimed that the majority, 65% to be precise, of cancers is due to bad luck, so non-preventable. In this paper we show that the analyses, presented in the paper, give absolutely no grounds to make such a claim. Some of the arguments have in the meantime appeared elsewhere, but some have not. We also show that the authors' assumptions and their data can only support a claim of no more than 5% of cancers being random.\",\"PeriodicalId\":242585,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Advances in Methodology and Statistics\",\"volume\":\"7 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2017-07-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"1\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Advances in Methodology and Statistics\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.51936/tvcb8684\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Advances in Methodology and Statistics","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.51936/tvcb8684","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Bad luck of cancer – or misinterpreted statistics?
A paper in Science (January 2015) claimed that the majority, 65% to be precise, of cancers is due to bad luck, so non-preventable. In this paper we show that the analyses, presented in the paper, give absolutely no grounds to make such a claim. Some of the arguments have in the meantime appeared elsewhere, but some have not. We also show that the authors' assumptions and their data can only support a claim of no more than 5% of cancers being random.