对公共预算官员的督促:一项基于实地的调查实验

Makoto Kuroki, Shusaku Sasaki
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摘要

本研究实验考察了日本地方政府在预算决策中提供信息对公共政策未来结果的影响,以及用行为经济学推动强调信息的影响。公共预算官员考虑政策的效率并评估其预算金额;然而,由于时间和信息的限制、偏见和体制压力,他们无法充分执行任务。我们对日本地方政府财政部门的工作人员进行了实地调查实验,获得了484份有效回复。在实验中,受访者在以下四种条件之一的情况下评估一项假设环境政策下一年的预算金额:(a)对照组,(B)未来结果信息,(C)未来结果信息与损失框架推动,(D)未来结果信息与社会比较推动。实验结果表明,与对照组相比,两个轻推干预组的预算官员对未来结果的评价更高,对未来结果的参考也更多,其评估金额较上年水平有所提高,且高于仅提供未来结果信息的水平。我们的结论是,损失框架和社会比较推动使预算官员的决策更加面向未来。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Nudges for Public Budget Officers: A Field-Based Survey Experiment
This study experimentally investigated the effects of providing information on public policy’s future outcomes and emphasizing the information with behavioral economics nudges on budgetary decision-making in Japan’s local governments. Public budget officers consider the policy’s efficiency and assess its budget amount; however, the adequate performance of their tasks is prevented by time and information constraints, biases, and institutional pressures. We conducted a field-based survey experiment on staff in financial departments of Japan’s local governments and obtained 484 valid responses. In the experiment, respondents assessed a budget amount for the next year for a hypothetical environmental policy, under one of the following four conditions: (A) control group, (B) future outcome information, (C) future outcome information with a loss-framing nudge, and (D) future outcome information with a social-comparison nudge. The experimental results show that the budget officers assigned to the two nudged-based intervention groups evaluated the future outcomes more highly and referred to them more than the control group, and then their assessed amount increased from the past year’s level and was higher than merely providing the future outcomes information. We conclude that the loss-framing and social-comparison nudges changed the budget officers’ decision-making to be more future-oriented.
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