“双一流”工程与经济发展与技术进步的耦合与协调

Baijie Wang, Junpeng Chang
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摘要

*基于中国31个地区的面板数据,采用熵值法分析了“双一流”工程与经济发展、技术进步的耦合度和协调度,并探讨了影响因素。结果发现,北京的耦合度处于中下阶段,上海的耦合度接近中下阶段,但仍处于较低阶段,其他地区处于较低阶段;协调程度上,北京、上海、江苏处于中等不平衡阶段,其他地区处于严重不平衡阶段。耦合度和协调度呈现由东向西递减的趋势;政府管理强度与耦合/协调程度呈显著负相关;财政分权/市场化水平与耦合/协调程度呈显著正相关,市场化水平是影响耦合/协调程度的最重要因素。经过逐步回归、分位数回归和灰色关联分析,这些结论仍然是稳健的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Coupling and Coordination of the “Double First-Class” Project, Economic Development and Technological Progress
∗Based on the panel data of 31 regions in China, this paper used the entropy method to analyze the coupling degree and coordination degree of the “Double First-Class” project, economic development, and technological progress, then explored the determinants. It was found that the coupling degree of Beijing was at the lower-middle stage and the coupling degree of Shanghai was close to the lowermiddle stage, but it was still at the low stage, and other regions were at the low stage; as for the coordination degree, Beijing, Shanghai, and Jiangsu were at the moderately imbalance stage, other regions were at the severe imbalance stage. Coupling degree and coordination degree showed a decreasing trend from the eastern region to the western region; there was a significantly negative correlation between the intensity of governmental management and the degree of coupling/coordination; there was a significantly positive correlation between the level of fiscal decentralization/marketization and the degree of coupling/coordination, and Level of marketization was the most important factor affecting the degree of coupling/coordination. After running stepwise regression and quantile regression and using the Grey Relation Analysis, these conclusions were still robust.
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