宏观经济变量、人口因素与尼日利亚经常账户平衡:因果关系

S. B. Adegboyega, O. Maku, K. Agbatogun
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本文考察了宏观经济变量、人口因素对尼日利亚经常账户余额的影响。通过考察选定的人口变量的作用和方向,分析了国内储蓄和投资对经常项目余额的相互关系。本研究采用Toda-Yamamoto因果关系分析方法。结果表明,国内储蓄和投资对经常项目收支的影响均为因果关系。然而,经常项目余额与国内储蓄和投资之间不存在反向因果关系。因此,所选的人口变量对经常账户余额、投资和国内储蓄没有显著的因果关系。政府需要在不过度依赖外国资源的情况下,通过增加国内储蓄为所需的投资提供资金
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Macroeconomic Variables, Demographic Factors and Current Account Balance in Nigeria: A Causal Relationship
This paper examines the effect of macroeconomic variables, demographic factors toward current account balance in Nigeria. It analyzed the connection between each of domestic savings and investment on current account balance by examining the role and direction of the selected demographic variables. The Toda-Yamamoto approach to causality was used to analyze the study. The result shows that the direction of causality was from both domestic saving and investment to current account balance. However, there is no reverse causation from the current account balance to domestic saving and investment. Thus, the selected demographic variables had no significant causation towards current account balance, investment, and domestic saving. The government needs to finance the desired investment through increased domestic saving without undue reliance on foreign resources
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