加纳干旱地区农民对气候变化和变异的适应策略选择

H. Alhassan, P. Kwakwa, W. Adzawla
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引用次数: 23

摘要

本研究采用多项logistic回归方法确定了影响加纳北部Savelugu-Nanton地区农民对气候变化适应策略选择和变率的因素。采用简单随机抽样的方法,选取了180名农民。采用多项回归模型对数据进行分析。结果表明,该地区对气候变化和变率的认识水平较高,确定的适应策略为混作、改变作物品种、改变种植时间/日期、土壤保持技术、增加灌溉、增加母畜数量和季节性迁徙。农民们证实了经验观察,气候变化将导致农作物减产。此外,性别、年龄、教育程度、家庭规模、农业经验、获得推广服务的机会、获得信贷的机会、获得移动电话的机会以及感知到的降雨量减少都会影响农民对特定适应战略的选择。这些发现支持并证明了对农民进行气候变化和变异教育的呼吁是合理的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
FARMERS CHOICE OF ADAPTATION STRATEGIES TO CLIMATE CHANGE AND VARIABILITY IN ARID REGION OF GHANA
This study used multinomial logit regression to determine the factors that influence farmers’ choice of adaptation strategies to climate change and variability of farmers in Savelugu-Nanton district, Northern region of Ghana. A simple random sampling was used to select 180 farmers. The data was analysed using a Multinomial logit regression model. From the results, the level of climate change and variability awareness was high and the adaptation strategies identified were mixed cropping, change crop varieties, changing planting time/date, soil conservation techniques, increased irrigation, increased female livestock herd, and seasonal migration. Farmers confirmed empirically observations that climate change would lead to a reduction in crop production. Also, gender, age, education, household size, farming experience, access to extension, access to credit, access to mobile phone and perceived decreased rainfall influenced farmers’ choices of a particular adaptation strategy. The findings support and justified calls for education of farmers on climate change and variability.
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