大流行时期日本的经济政策

A. Belov
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引用次数: 4

摘要

在2019冠状病毒病大流行初期(2020年2月至9月),日本成功地将死亡率降至最低,减少了对经济的损害。日本的经验既有积极的一面,也有消极的一面。在七国集团国家中,日本的总体死亡率和过高死亡率指标在东亚国家中表现最好。旅游业和其他接触密集型产业的就业机会将减少约100万个,主要影响兼职和临时工。与此同时,总体失业率将很难超过经合组织平均水平的三分之一,这主要是因为日本提供了充足的财政支持,核心员工的长期承诺,以及国内公司保留工作的做法。日本政府开始实施量化宽松措施,在财政领域采取货币扩张措施,在促进增长的结构性政策中采取普遍刺激措施,这种做法实际上遵循了长期通货再膨胀的安倍经济学的逻辑,至少在安倍突然辞职的情况下,这种逻辑预计将继续下去。日本新当选的总理哟日本须贺已表示他对当前的货币和财政政策的支持,他也暗示需要减少行政的繁文缛节和加快数字化经济的应对危机措施的计划在日本是世界上最大的国家之一,和它的实现可以增加预算赤字和公共债务,也就是说,导致出现的问题与其他国家相关©2021,俄罗斯科学院版权所有
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Economic Policy of Japan in the Time of Pandemic
In the initial period of the COVID-19 pandemic (February-September 2020), Japan succeeded in minimizing the mortality rate and reducing the damage to the economy The Japanese experience has both positive and negative aspects Among the G7 countries, Japan recorded the best use among the states of East Asia the worst indicators of overall and excessive mortality From an economic perspective, the pandemic strongly affected inbound and outbound tourism, which will take years to recover Employment opportunities in the tourism and other contact-intensive industries will be reduced by approximately one million jobs, primarily affecting part time and temporary workers At the same time, the overall unemployment rate will hardly exceed one-third of the OECD average generally because of the ample financial support, long-term commitments among core employees in Japan, and job retention practices of domestic companies In the macroeconomic realm, the Japanese government embarked on an extension of quantitatively easing measures of monetary expansionary steps in fiscal sphere and universal stimulus in growth-enhancing structural policies This approach actually follows the logic of a long-standing reflationary Abenomics, which is expected to continue despite the abrupt resignation of S Abe At least, Japan’s newly elected Prime Minister Yo Suga has indicated his support for current monetary and fiscal policies He also hinted at a need to reduce the administrative red tape and to accelerate the digitalization in the economy The package of anti-crisis measures in Japan turned out to be one of the largest in the world, and its implementation could increase the budget deficit and public debt, that is, cause the emergence of problems relevant to most other countries © 2021, Russian Academy of Sciences All rights reserved
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