国际贸易对全球粮食安全和能源使用的影响

Dwi Nur Farida
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究考察了全球贸易、粮食安全和化石能源使用对印度尼西亚在2019冠状病毒病之前和乌克兰-俄罗斯战争之前的影响。本研究使用了相当长的一段时间,即从1974年到2014年。本研究期间的确定是为了调查对国际贸易的影响,印尼的粮食安全与印尼的净粮食出口指标,以及化石能源在印尼的使用。我们避免了covid - 19和乌克兰-俄罗斯战争的冲击,以便我们的估计结果可以提供更准确的估计。我们使用向量误差修正模型来研究两种方法之间的因果关系。我们发现全球贸易对粮食安全和能源使用的影响显著。当世界供应链受到干扰时,比如战争,它将对世界粮食安全和能源使用产生影响。粮食安全对人类至关重要,国际贸易对维持全球粮食安全供应链至关重要。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Effects of International Trade on Global Food Security and Energy Use
This study examines the effects of global trade, Food Security, and the use of fossil energy in Indonesia before covid 19 and before the Ukraine-Russian war.This study uses a fairly long period of time, namely from 1974 to 2014. The determination of the period of this research is to investigate the consequences on international trade, Indonesian food security with indicators of Indonesia's net food export, and the use of fossil energy in Indonesia. We avoid the shock of covid 19 and the Ukraine - Russia war so that our estimation results can provide a more accurate estimate. We use a model on vector error correction to investigate causality in between two method. We found the impact of global trade significant effect on food security and energy use. Where when there is a disturbance in the world supply chain, such as a war, it will have an impact on world food security and energy use. Food security is important for humanity and international trade is important in maintaining supply chains for global food security.
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