基于非支配排序遗传算法和机器学习的风速预测方法

Xiaoyu Shen, Xue Kong, Leyi Yu, Yinghui Han, Feng Gao, Xiaokun Wu, Yagang Zhang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

由于技术进步和降低成本的努力,风力发电已成为一种具有竞争力的替代能源。由于风速具有很强的波动性,在风力发电上大量浪费资源的现象屡见不鲜。提高风速预测的准确性可以避免这种情况,提高风力发电的经济效益和利用率。因此,本文提出了一种结合多种优化算法的混合预测模型。首先,基于包络熵,采用NSGA-II改进的粒子群算法选择变分模态分解参数;然后,为了改进机器学习模型的结构,采用麻雀搜索算法确定深度极限学习机的最优参数。最后,利用SSA-DELM对各分解分量进行预测,得到精度较高的预测结果。算例分析表明,该方法具有良好的性能。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Wind Speed Forecasting Method Based on Nondominated Sorting Genetic Algorithm and Machine Learning
As a result of technical advances and cost reduction efforts, wind power has become prevalent as a competitive alternative energy sources. Due to the strong volatility of wind speed, it the extensive wasting of resources on wind power is not uncommon. Improving the accuracy of wind speed prediction can avoid this situation and improve the economic efficiency and utilization rate of wind power generation. Therefore, this paper proposes a hybrid predictive model that combines multiple optimization algorithms. Firstly, based on the envelope entropy, the particle swarm optimization improved by NSGA-II is used to select the parameter of variational modal decomposition. Then, in order to improve the machine learning model’s structure, the sparrow search algorithm is used to determine the optimal parameters of the deep extreme learning machine. Finally, use SSA-DELM to predict each decomposed component to obtain forecasting results with higher accuracy. The example analysis shows that this method has good performance.
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