战后瑞典经济模式的社会困境

Zbigniew Klimiuk, H. Petryshyn
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摘要

本文分析了瑞典经济模式从19世纪中叶到2008 - 2010年危机的发展阶段。瑞典是斯堪的纳维亚最富有的国家,也是世界上工业化程度最高的国家之一。瑞典是一个经济高度发达、组织高效的国家。在过去的几年里,经济一直处于经济增长的阶段。在2018年至2021年期间,在低通货膨胀率(约为2%)的情况下,国内生产总值(GDP)增长了近2.0%。失业率相对较高(2019年为7.0%,2021年为8.8%)。瑞典取得的经济成果并非偶然。这是瑞典政府持续推行协调一致的经济政策的结果,它积极地影响着该国经济增长过程的物质过程。瑞典经济政策的发展可以分为两个时期:第一个时期(20世纪70年代和80年代)的特点是传统上理解的工业化的衰落。1976年至1982年期间政治舞台的变化导致社会民主党下台,但并没有阻止随后的财政主义和公共和社会支出的增加。从长期来看,经济增长率正在下降。1961 - 1970年间,瑞典GDP年均增长率分别为8.9%,70年代为5.6%,80年代为6.9%。20世纪90年代,瑞典企业的国际化进程、对外经济合作的自由主义方式和公共财政的复苏,是瑞典经济政策的第二个特征时期。二十多年来,瑞典政府一直保持着严格的财政纪律。在20世纪90年代初的经济重置之后,公共支出在瑞典GDP中所占份额的总体下降趋势似乎已经停止。在过去三年(20192021),公共支出不超过GDP的50%。此外,瑞典多年来一直保持着较低的公共债务水平。公共债务占GDP的比例从1994年的78%降至2019年的35.2%、2020年的39.6%和2021年的36.7%。使瑞典经济快速增长的重要因素之一是研究与开发(R&D)的高支出。几年来,瑞典一直在新技术开发投资最多的国家中处于前列。瑞典经济增长的一个重要因素也是外国投资的高水平。根据联合国的统计,瑞典是最吸引外资的地方之一。多年来,瑞典经济的推动力是出口的发展,到2021年,瑞典的出口增长达到了约6.9%的水平。1760亿兹罗提。欧元,这让瑞典走在了世界的前列。2021年,出口在瑞典国内生产总值中所占的份额高达45.5%。加入欧盟也对瑞典的经济发展产生了积极影响。瑞典的社会和经济成功也是在吸取1990年代初金融危机教训的基础上取得的。不变的战略和经济政策,加上竞争力、创新和灵活的贸易办法,使瑞典今天成为一个具有高度竞争力的国家,其经济取得了可衡量的成功。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
SOCIAL DILEMMAS OF THE SWEDISH ECONOMIC MODEL IN THE POST-WAR PERIOD
The article analyzes the stages development of the Swedish economic model from the mid-nineteenth century to the crisis in period 20082010. Sweden is the richest Scandinavian country and one of the most industrialized countries in the world. Sweden is an economically highly developed and efficiently organized country. For the last few years, the economy has been in a phase of economic growth. In the period 20182021, the gross domestic product (GDP) grew at a rate of almost 2.0% in the conditions of low inflation (approx. 3% annually) and a relatively high unemployment rate (7.0% in 2019 and 8.8% in 2021). The economic results achieved by Sweden are not accidental. This is the result of the harmonized economic policy pursued continuously by the Swedish government, which actively affects the material course of economic growth processes in this country. The development of economic policy in Sweden can be divided into two periods: the first (1970s and 1980s) was characterized by the decline of traditionally understood industrialization. The change in the political arena in the period 1976-1982, which resulted in the removal of the Social Democrats from power, did not stop the subsequent fiscalism and the increase in public and social spending. The rate of economic growth in the long-term horizon was declining. Between 1961 and 1970, the average annual growth of Swedish GDP was 8.9%, 5.6% in the 1970s and 6.9% in the 1980s, respectively.The process of internationalization of Swedish enterprises, liberal approaches to economic cooperation with foreign countries and the recovery of public finances, whose dynamic development took place in the 1990s, are the second characteristic period in Swedens economic policy. For more than two decades, Swedish governments have maintained strong fiscal discipline. After theeconomic reset in the early 1990s, the general downward trend in the share of public spending in Swedish GDP seems to have come to a halt. In the last 3 years (20192021), public spending did not exceed 50% of GDP. Moreover, Sweden has maintained a low level of public debt for years. The ratio of public debt to GDP decreased from 78% (1994) to 35.2% (2019), 39.6% in 2020 and in 2021 36.7%. One of the important factors enabling the rapid economic growth of Sweden was high expenditure on research and development (R&D). For several years, Sweden has been at the forefront of countries investing the most in the development of new technologies. An important factor in Swedens economic growth has also been the high level of foreign investment. According to UN statistics, Sweden is one of the most attractive places to invest foreign capital. The impulse of the Swedish economy over many years was the development of exports, which in 2021 reached the level of approx. PLN 176 billion. Euro, which puts Sweden at the forefront of the world. The share of exports in creating the Swedish GDP in 2021 was as much as 45.5%.The EU membership also had a positive impact on Swedens economic development.Swedens social and economic success has also been achieved on the basis of the lessons learned from the financial crisis of the early 1990s. The unchanging strategy and economic policy, together with competitiveness, innovation and a flexible approach to trade, have made Sweden today a highly competitive country with an economy that achieves measurable successes.
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