基于手机信令数据和贝叶斯网络的出行目的识别

Zhenbo Lu, Lin-feng Chai, Zeyu Feng, Juan Liu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

识别和检测个体出行者的出行目的是交通规划领域的一个重要问题。在4G/5G组网环境下,手机信令数据具有采集成本低、用户覆盖广、实时性强等优点。然而,从噪声数据占比较大的手机信令数据中有效挖掘出行特征来识别出行目的是很困难的。本文以中国江苏省昆山市居民的手机信令数据为基础,获取散客出行细分,并结合居民出行调查数据和POI数据挖掘散客出行信息。通过基于约束的贝叶斯网络结构学习理论,初步构建了贝叶斯网络。本文以出行目的为演绎推理对象,对贝叶斯网络进行修剪,实现出行目的识别。结果表明,基于本文提出的出行特征挖掘方法,通过贝叶斯网络识别模型,出行目的识别准确率可达91.28%。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Travel purpose identification based on mobile phone signaling data and Bayesian network
It is an important issue in the field of transportation planning to identify and detect the travel purpose of individual travelers. The mobile phone signaling data has the advantages of low collection cost, wide user coverage, and strong real-time performance in the 4G/5G networking environment. However, it is difficult to mine the travel characteristics effectively from the mobile phone signaling data with a large proportion of noise data to identify the travel purpose. This paper relies on the mobile phone signaling data of residents in Kunshan City, Jiangsu Province, China, to obtain individual travel segments, and then combines residents' travel survey data and POI data to mine individual travel information. The Bayesian network is preliminarily constructed through the constraint-based Bayesian network structure learning theory. This article takes the travel purpose as the deductive reasoning object, prunes the Bayesian network and achieves travel purpose identification. The results show that, based on the travel feature mining method proposed in this paper, the accuracy of travel purpose identification can reach 91.28% through the Bayesian network identification model.
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