印度货币政策传导机制的实证研究

Dr. S. M. Thirunavukkarasu, T.Lashmi Pradha
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引用次数: 0

摘要

货币政策的传导机制与扩大经济中总需求的借贷有关。银行体系在货币政策传导中占有重要地位。货币政策传导的渠道有:利率渠道、信贷供给渠道、汇率渠道和资产价格渠道。金融价格包括利率、汇率、收益率、资产价格和股票价格,金融数量包括货币供应量、信贷总量、政府债券供应量和外币计价资产。多年来,印度储备银行使用各种货币政策框架,分为货币前目标(1947年至1984-85年),货币目标(1984-85年至1997- 98年),多指标方法(1998-99年至2014年),通货膨胀目标(2013年起)和灵活通货膨胀目标(FIT)。从2019年到2021年,所有这些银行的MCLR也大幅下降。从2019年到2021年,这三类银行的外部基准有所提高。回购利率提供了FIT前后的对比数据。金融体系不健全是传导机制的障碍。贷款成本、债券市场问题和疫情相关问题要求我国货币政策有一个合适的传导机制。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Transmission mechanism of monetary policy in India - An Expost Study
The transmission mechanism of monetary policy is correlated to lending which expands aggregate demand in the economy. The banking system form an important place in the monetary policy transmission. The channels of monetary policy transmission are: Interest Rate Channel, Credit or Loan Supply Channel, Exchange Rate Channel, and Asset Price Channel. The financial prices include interest rates, exchange rates, yields, asset prices, and equity prices, and the financial quantities consists of money supply, credit aggregates, supply of government bonds and foreign denominated assets. RBI uses various monetary policy frameworks over the years which is classified as pre-monetary targeting (1947 to 1984-85), monetary targeting (1984-85 to 1997- 98), Multiple Indicators approach (1998-99 to 2014), Inflation Targeting (from 2013 onwards), and Flexible Inflation Targeting (FIT). MCLR also drastically decreased for all these banks from 2019 to 2021. The external benchmark has increased for the three types of banks from 2019 to 2021. The repo rate gives a contrast data between pre and post FIT periods. The financial system is not fully developed which is a hindrance to the transmission mechanism. The cost of lending, issues in bond market, and pandemic situation related problems requires an appropriate transmission mechanism in the monetary policy of our country.
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