互联网接入对撒哈拉以南非洲经济增长的不对称影响:来自动态面板阈值回归的洞察

I. Abdulqadir, S. Asongu
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引用次数: 20

摘要

本文研究了2008-2018年期间,42个撒哈拉以南非洲国家的互联网接入(互联网指数)对经济增长的不对称影响。估计过程是通过动态面板阈值回归技术,通过1000次自举复制和Hansen(1996,1999,2000)开发的400网格搜索获得的。本研究首先通过应用汉森阈值模型探讨了互联网接入与经济增长之间关系中拐点的存在。非线性阈值模型的发现揭示了3.55%的显著互联网阈值效应。本文还考察了互联网接入对经济增长的线性短期影响,同时控制了私营部门信贷、贸易开放、政府监管和关税制度的影响。互联网接入的边际效应被评估为最低水平,而政府监管和关税制度的最高水平是积极的。另一方面,私营部门信贷和贸易开放的最低和最高水平通过相互作用条件是负的。本文通过探索互联网接入与金融资源、互联网接入与贸易、互联网接入与政府监管、互联网接入与终端用户订阅的关税制度的互动机制,通过互联网接入对经济增长相关性的非线性转化,推进了文献的发展。在政策方面,政府法规和关税制度共同影响的统计意义与SSA国家电信业的运作有关。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Asymmetric Effect of Internet Access on Economic Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa: Insight from a Dynamic Panel Threshold Regression
This article investigates the asymmetric effect of internet access (index of the internet) on economic growth in 42 sub-Saharan African (SSA) countries over the period 2008-2018. The estimation procedure is obtained following a dynamic panel threshold regression technique via 1000 bootstrap replications and the 400 grids search developed by Hansen (1996, 1999, 2000). The investigation first explores the presence of inflection points in the relationship between internet access and economic growth through the application of Hansen's threshold models. The finding from the nonlinearity threshold model revealed a significant internet threshold-effect of 3.55 percent for growth. The article also examines the linear short-run effect of internet access on economic growth while controlling for the effects of private sector credit, trade openness, government regulation, and tariff regimes. The marginal effect of internet access is evaluated at the minimum, and the maximum levels of government regulation and tariffs regime are positive. On the other hand, the minimum and maximum levels of private sector credit and trade openness are negative via the interaction terms. The article advances the literature by its nonlinear transformation of the relevance of internet access on economic growth by exploring interactive mechanisms of: internet access versus financial resource, internet access versus trade, internet access versus government regulation, and internet access versus the tariff regimes from end-user subscriptions. In policy terms, the statistical significance of the joint impact of government regulations and tariff regimes is relevant in the operation of the telecommunication industry in SSA countries.
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