一些货币指标对尼泊尔经济增长的作用

Bashu Dev Dhungel
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文试图考察1980-2019年尼泊尔主要货币因素与国内生产总值增长之间的因果关系。为了确认货币因素对国内生产总值增长的短期和长期贡献,采用了约翰森协整和误差修正模型的方法,结果证实,广义货币供应量和消费者价格指数对国内生产总值增长有积极和显著的影响,而银行利率似乎对尼泊尔经济的国内生产总值增长有消极和显著的影响。此外,误差修正系数项(-0.4)证实了货币相关变量与国内生产总值(gdp)增长之间存在联系,调整速度为40%,趋于均衡。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Role of Some Monetary Indicators on Nepalese Economic Growth
This research paper attempts to examine the causal association between major’s Nepalese monetary factors and Gross Domestic Product growth from 1980–2019. To confirm the short-term and long-term contribution of monetary factors to Gross Domestic Product Growth, Johansen approach to cointegration and Error Correction Model has employed and the results have confirmed that the broad money supply and consumer price index positively and significantly affects Gross Domestic Product growth whereas bank rate is seemed to be negatively and significantly effect on Gross Domestic Product growth in Nepalese economy. Moreover, Error Correction coefficient term (-0.4) confirms the emergence of a nexus between the monetary related variables and Gross Domestic Product growth at 40% speed of adjustments towards the equilibrium.
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