十年来美国自然灾害与家庭食品支出和质量:一项准实验研究

A. Wahdat, M. Delgado
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究利用2005年至2016年美国自然灾害的时空变化,采用广义差异中的差异方法来确定自然灾害对家庭家庭食品支出和质量的影响。我们使用两个数据集:(i)风暴事件数据库(Storm Events Database)来识别因干旱、洪水、飓风和龙卷风而遭受严重经济损失的美国县,(ii)尼尔森消费者小组数据(Nielsen Consumer Panel Data)用于食品杂货数据。我们发现只有洪水和飓风会影响FAH支出。洪水(飓风)对FAH支出有持续(直接)的影响。平均而言,破坏性很强的洪水(飓风)在事件发生后的90天(30天)内减少了15天的FAH支出约2美元(7美元)。四种自然灾害的FAH质量效应要么无关紧要,要么不存在。我们提供的间接证据表明,自然灾害的FAH支出效应通过收入和价格两个渠道发挥作用。我们还发现,飓风对灾难发生前15天开始的食品杂货总支出有预期效应。我们的结果对于控制特定国家线性趋势的替代规范具有鲁棒性。关于自然灾害对家庭财务和财务决策的影响的文献越来越多,我们又增加了这些文献。我们的研究结果可能对灾后救援组织及其项目特别感兴趣。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A Decade of U.S. Natural Disasters and Household Food-at-Home Expenditures and Quality: A Quasi-Experimental Study
This study exploits spatial and temporal variation in natural disasters in the United States via a generalized differences-in-differences approach to identify the impact of natural disasters on households’ food-at-home (FAH) spending and quality from 2005 to 2016. We use two datasets: (i) the Storm Events Database to identify U.S. counties that experience severe economic losses as a result of droughts, floods, hurricanes, and tornadoes, and (ii) the Nielsen Consumer Panel Data for grocery data. We find that only floods and hurricanes affect FAH spending. Floods (Hurricanes) have a persistent (immediate) effect on FAH spending. On average, highly damaging floods (hurricanes) decrease 15-day FAH spending by about $2 ($7) in 90 days (30 days) after the events. The FAH quality effect of the four natural disasters is either inconsequential or nonexistent. We provide indirect evidence that the FAH spending effect of natural disasters works through both income and price channels. We also find that hurricanes have an anticipation effect on total grocery spending which starts 15 days before the disaster date. Our results are robust to an alternative specification that controls for county-specific linear trends. We add to the growing body of literature on the effects of natural disasters on household finances and financial decisions. Our findings could be of particular interest to post-disaster relief organizations and their programs.
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