保护区计划:经济评估

C. Young, C. Osborn
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引用次数: 39

摘要

保护保护区计划(CRP)将在该计划实施期间(1986- 1999年)提高农场净收入并改善环境质量。这些收益的代价是食品价格和政府管理费用的上涨,以及农业投入行业和其他与农业相关的地方经济活动的潜在衰退,而农业的入学率很高。根据本报告所涵盖的影响,作者估计该计划的净经济效益在现值34亿至110亿美元之间。对政府净支出的任何估计都高度依赖于预计的商品市场状况和在没有方案的情况下假设的面积减少计划水平。在1988年旱灾之前,作者估计政府净开支很少。最近在1988年旱灾之后作出的估计,由于没有紧急方案,假定面积减少程度较高,导致政府净开支大大增加。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Conservation Reserve Program: An Economic Assessment
The Conservation Reserve Program (CRP) will boost net farm income and improve environmental quality over the life of the program (1986-99). These gains will come at the cost of somewhat higher food prices and Government administrative expenses, and potential downturns in farm input industries and other local economic activity tied to farming where enrollment is heavy. The authors estimated the net economic benefits of the program to range between $3.4 billion and $11.0 billion in present value, based on the effects covered in this report. Any estimate of the net Government expense of the CRP is highly dependent upon projected commodity market conditions and assumed levels of the acreage reduction program in the absence of the CRP. Prior to the 1988 drought, the authors estimated a small net Government expense. A more recent estimate made after the 1988 drought and with higher assumed acreage reduction levels in the absence of the CRP resulted in a significantly higher net Government expense.
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