首价拍卖中风险厌恶与损失厌恶的实证分析

Dong-Hyuk Kim, Anmol Ratan
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引用次数: 1

摘要

我们建立了一个将一般风险厌恶偏好与预期损失厌恶相结合的模型来解释首价拍卖中的投标行为,其中风险厌恶和损失厌恶都会导致“过高出价”。然后,我们证明了非参数效用函数和损失厌恶系数是由投标者数量外生变化的实验数据点识别的。此外,我们还开发了一种基于Bernstein多项式的柔性效用函数的结构方法。我们的方法很好地预测了数据,反事实分析表明,损失厌恶解释了数据中85 ~ 90%的过高出价。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Disentangling Risk-Aversion and Loss Aversion in First-Price Auctions: An Empirical Approach
We develop a model which combines general risk-averse preferences with anticipated loss aversion to explain bidding behavior in the first-price auction, where both risk-aversion and loss aversion induce ‘overbidding.’ We then show that the nonparametric utility function and loss aversion coefficient are point-identified by the experiment data with exogenous variation in the number of bidders. Moreover, we develop a structural method with a flexible utility function based on Bernstein polynomials. Our method predicts the data well and the counterfactual analysis shows that loss aversion explains 85 ∼ 90% of overbidding in the data.
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