2019冠状病毒病疫情期间印尼海上货运网络时空变化格局研究

A. R. Destyanto, Yilin Huang, A. Verbraeck
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引用次数: 0

摘要

印度尼西亚的COVID-19大流行导致了人员流动的重大变化。它也被认为是自1998年经济危机以来对岛屿间贸易网络的最严重威胁。利用来自自动识别系统(AIS)的两年历史港口停靠数据(共涵盖6,000条记录),本研究考察了整个2019冠状病毒病疫情期间海上货运网络连通性和货运能力的时空变化。我们构建了两个有向图,一个在2019年,另一个在2020年,基于1,283艘印度尼西亚国内货船的轨迹,通过370条链路连接印度尼西亚25个主要港口。本研究计算并比较了复杂网络分析的四个指标,包括选型系数、平均度、中间中心性和聚类系数,以了解航运网络模式的变化。结果表明,尽管全国港口停靠趋势与2019年没有显著差异,但2020年网络连通性及其运力发生了变化。根据我们的观察,我们注意到该网络正在从主要涉及印度尼西亚西部枢纽-港口结构的“主轮辐连接”转向“多轮辐连接”,这增加了印度尼西亚东部港口的中心地位。我们还分析了各环节货物运输能力的变化,以反映班轮公司如何应对疫情。本研究中产生的见解希望有助于对这一前所未有的破坏做出更快速、有效和全面的反应。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Examining the spatiotemporal changing pattern of freight maritime transport networks in Indonesia during COVID-19 outbreaks
The COVID-19 pandemic in Indonesia has led to a significant change in human mobility. It is also considered the most serious threat to the inter-island trade network since the economic crisis in 1998. Leveraging two-year historical port call data (covering 6,000 records in total) of Indonesian domestic cargo vessels from the Automatic Identification System (AIS), this study examines the spatiotemporal changes of maritime freight transport network connectivity and cargo shipping capacity throughout the COVID-19 outbreaks period. We constructed two directed graphs, one in 2019 and another in the 2020 period, based on 1,283 Indonesian domestic cargo ship trajectories that connect 25 main Indonesian ports through 370 links. This study calculated and compared the four metrics of complex network analysis, including assortative coefficient, average degree, betweenness centrality, and clustering coefficient, to figure out the shipping network pattern changes. The result shows that the network connectivity and its shipping capacity changed in 2020, although the national port call trend is not significantly different from 2019. Based on our observation, we notice that the network is shifting from a "main hub-and-spoke connection," which dominantly involves western Indonesia hub-ports structure, towards a "multi hub-and-spoke connection," which increases the ports centrality position in eastern Indonesia. We also analyzed the change of cargo shipping capacity in each link to reflect how shipping liner companies respond to the pandemics. The insights generated in this study are hoping to contribute toward more rapid, effective, and comprehensive responses to this unprecedented disruption.
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