欧亚经济联盟国家一体化:质变

N. Sopilko, Valeriy M. Tumin, I. Eremina, E. Zenkina, O. Ivanova
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文分析了在国际实践中评估国家发展质量一体化效应的各种现代方法。本研究的主要目标是证实欧亚经济联盟成员国进一步发展一体化的经济可行性,在此框架内,本研究的任务是形成一种具体的方法,从正在进行的改革、改善人口福利的机会、人口生活质量等角度来评估欧亚经济联盟国家经济一体化的质量效应。作者对与欧亚经济联盟地区转型改革相关的各种质量参数进行了比较分析,并与一些后苏联国家进行了比较,分析了《营商环境报告》数据的主要特征,人类发展指数的动态,全球竞争力,生活质量,基尼指数等。所获得的结果证实了这样一个事实,即一体化关系对各国的社会经济发展具有积极影响。在此基础上,分析了欧亚经济联盟成员国在一体化进程中存在的一些问题,并指出欧亚国家需要发展高质量的制度;同时指出了产业发展的不足和形成增值链的必要性。得出的结论是欧亚经济联盟体制基础的薄弱,以及发展一体化进程以促进经济各领域改革的可能性。研究还表明,指标的质量评估应在比欧亚经济联盟存在的更长的改革时期内进行,并可通过数量方法加以支持,例如,各国主要宏观经济指标的预测动态或其他经济和数学建模方法。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Integration of the EAEU Countries: Qualitative Changes
The paper presents an analysis of various modern approaches to assessing the integration effects of countries in international practice regarding the quality of their development. The main goal of the study is to substantiate the economic feasibility of further development of the integration of the EAEU member states, within the framework of which the task was set to form a specific approach to assessing the quality effects of the economic integration of the EAEU countries from the standpoint of ongoing reforms, opportunities to improve the welfare of the population, the quality of life of the population, etc. The authors have carried out a comparative analysis of various quality parameters in relation to the transformational reforms carried out in the EAEU region in comparison with some post-Soviet countries, have analyzed the main characteristics of the Doing Business data, the dynamics of the Human Development Index, global competitiveness, quality of life, the Gini index, etc. The obtained results substantiate the fact that integration ties have a positive impact on the socio-economic development of the countries. Based on this analysis, some problems in the activities of the EAEU states regarding the development of integration processes have been highlighted, and they indicate that the Eurasian countries need the development of quality institutions; also, the shortcomings in the development of industry and the need to form value-added chains have been indicated. The conclusion has been made about the weakness of the institutional basis of the EAEU, and the possibilities for the development of integration processes for reforms in various areas of the economy. It is also shown that a quality assessment of indicators should be carried out over a longer period of reforms than the EAEU exists and can be supported by quantity methods, for example, predictive dynamics of the main macroeconomic indicators of the countries or other methods of economic and mathematical modeling.
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