新冠肺炎疫情对银行业金融稳定的影响——以欧亚经济联盟国家为例

G. Utarova, A. Faizulayev
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引用次数: 0

摘要

研究的目的是确定银行特定变量和宏观经济变量对欧亚经济联盟国家银行业稳定性的影响。为此,它使用KASE和世界银行数据库。数据来自欧亚经济联盟国家(俄罗斯、白俄罗斯、哈萨克斯坦、吉尔吉斯斯坦、阿塞拜疆和亚美尼亚)的10家商业银行,时间跨度为2016年至2021年。方法是采用面板校正标准误差模型(PCSE)来观察因变量和自变量的关系。Altman Z-score被用作金融稳定性的指标。资产收益率(ROA)是衡量公司盈利能力的指标。本研究的独创性/价值在于比较了影响欧亚经济联盟国家银行业稳定性和盈利能力的因素。研究的估计结果表明,银行特定和宏观经济对银行业的金融稳定有强烈的影响。例如,资产质量和腐败控制与银行稳定性显著负相关。另一方面,资产收益率(ROA)、银行规模、政治稳定性和时间虚拟效应对银行体系稳定性的影响为正且具有统计学意义。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The effect of the COVID19 pandemic on the financial stability of the banking industry: the case of Eurasian Economic Union countries
The purpose of research is to identify the influence of bank-specific and macroeconomic variables on banking sector stability in the case of Eurasian Economic Union countries. For this purpose, it uses KASE and World Bank Database. The data was received from 10 commercial banks of the Eurasian Economic Union countries (Russia, Belarus, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Azerbaijan, and Armenia) that cover the period 20162021.Methodology is the panel corrected standard error model (PCSE) to observe the relation of dependent and independent variables. Altman Z-score is used as an indicator of financial stability. Return of assets (ROA) is an indicator of company profitability.The originality / value of the research is a comparison of the factors that influence the stability and profitability of the banking industry in Eurasian Economic Union countries.The estimation findings of the research indicate that bank-specific and macroeconomic strongly impact the financial stability in the banking sector. For example, asset quality and corruption control are significantly and negatively related with banks' stability. On the other hand, return on assets (ROA), bank size, political stability, and time dummy effect on the stability of the banking system are positive and statistically significant.
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