危险品运输的条件风险价值模型

C. Kwon
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引用次数: 22

摘要

本文研究了如何利用条件风险值(CVaR)来降低危险物品运输中的风险。危险品路径选择必须考虑与危险品类型和路径选择有关的事故概率和事故后果。本文提出了一种基于CVaR测度的风险缓解方法。CVaR模型在金融投资组合优化问题中应用广泛,但在危险品运输问题中的应用尚属首次。提出了一种确定最优CVaR路线的计算方法,并通过对纽约州奥尔巴尼周边路网的案例研究进行了说明。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Conditional value-at-risk model for hazardous materials transportation
This paper investigates how the conditional value-at-risk (CVaR) can be used to mitigate risk in hazardous materials (hazmat) transportation. Routing hazmat must consider accident probabilities and accident consequences that depend on the hazmat types and route choices. This paper proposes a new method for mitigating risk based on CVaR measure. While the CVaR model is popularly used in financial portfolio optimization problems, its application in hazmat transportation is new. A computational method for determining the optimal CVaR route is proposed and illustrated by a case study in the road network surrounding Albany, NY.
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