社会生态系统基于主体建模的人类决策理论的形式化:实践经验教训和前进方向

Nina Schwarz, G. Dressler, K. Frank, W. Jager, M. Janssen, B. Müller, Maja Schlüter, Nanda Wijermans, J. Groeneveld
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引用次数: 13

摘要

将基于社会科学理论的人类决策表示纳入社会生态模型被认为越来越重要,但为特定建模背景选择和形式化理论仍然具有挑战性。在这里,我们反思了我们选择、形式化和记录人类决策的心理和经济理论的经验,以便将其纳入不同的基于主体的自然资源利用模型(ABMs)。我们讨论了与四个关键任务相关的挑战:如何选择一个理论?如何形式化一个理论,如何将其转化为代码?如何记录形式化?通过这种方式,我们系统地概述了研究人员在将人类决策理论纳入其ABMs时所面临的选择,反思了我们在自己的建模项目中所做的选择,并为该领域的新手提供了指导。此外,我们强调了关于这些ABMs的参数化和分析的进一步挑战,并建议如何应对这些挑战的系统概述有助于跨学科团队有效合作,利用模型解决社会生态动态问题。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Formalising theories of human decision-making for agent-based modelling of social-ecological systems: practical lessons learned and ways forward
Incorporating representations of human decision-making that are based on social science theories into social-ecological models is considered increasingly important – yet choosing and formalising a theory for a particular modelling context remains challenging. Here, we reflect on our experiences of selecting, formalising and documenting psychological and economic theories of human decision-making for inclusion in different agent-based models (ABMs) of natural resource use. We discuss the challenges related to four critical tasks: How to select a theory? How to formalise a theory and how to translate it into code? How to document the formalisation? In this way, we present a systematic overview of the choices researchers face when including theories of human decision-making in their ABMs, reflect on the choices we made in our own modelling projects and provide guidance for those new to the field. Also, we highlight further challenges regarding the parameterisation and analysis of such ABMs and suggest that a systematic overview of how to tackle these challenges contributes to an effective collaboration in interdisciplinary teams addressing socio-ecological dynamics using models.
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