《哥本哈根承诺》中的雄心:驱动因素和障碍的国家案例研究

Peter Stigson, Katarina Buhr, Susann Roth
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引用次数: 5

摘要

研究人员已经对哥本哈根协议下的气候承诺进行了定量评估,但很少有人关注是什么驱使各国提交承诺,是什么政治障碍阻碍了各国提交承诺,以及承诺的雄心。因此,本文强调了哥本哈根协议下的驱动因素和障碍,并评估了是否可以预期政治考虑与联合国气候变化框架公约下具有约束力的气候制度下的立场不同。通过个案研究,研究发现政治根源不同,一般认为《协定》被视为增加了谈判的透明度和合法性。此外,尽管这些承诺可以被视为一个单独的机制,但它应该得到排放交易的补充,以刺激更大的雄心。研究还发现,人们普遍认为这些承诺具有约束力,而且越来越多的人认为,采取气候行动的成本低于不采取行动,因此这些障碍被视为驱动因素。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The ambitions in Copenhagen Pledges: Country case studies of drivers and barriers
The climate pledges under the Copenhagen Accord have been evaluated by researchers in quantitative terms, but less attention has been provided on insights into what drove countries and what political barriers impeded countries to submit a pledge and the ambitiousness of the pledges. This article therefore highlights what the drivers and barriers are under the Copenhagen Accord and assesses whether the political considerations can be expected to differ from the positions under a binding climate regime under the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change. By means of case studies the research finds that the political origin differs and in general views that the Accord is viewed as adding to transparency and legitimacy of the negotiations. Moreover, while the pledges can be viewed as a separate regime, it should be complemented by emissions trading to spur increased ambition. The research also identifies that the pledges are commonly viewed as binding and that barriers are increasingly viewed as drivers seeing that costs of climate action is viewed as lower than inaction.
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