尼日利亚出口多样化的宏观经济分析

Martins Iyoboyi
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引用次数: 3

摘要

本文利用Theil指数对尼日利亚1981-2015年期间宏观经济变量对多元化的影响进行了研究,对二手来源的数据采用了协整的边界检验方法。经济多样化指标与相关变量之间存在协整关系。我们还发现,资本形成、实际有效汇率、对私营部门的国内信贷和外国直接投资促进了多样化。尼日利亚政府的努力应着眼于利用石油收入使经济多样化,促进非石油部门的外国直接投资,提供固定资本,鼓励信贷流向私营部门,并执行谨慎的汇率制度。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Macroeconomic Analysis of Export Diversification in Nigeria
In this paper, the Theil index was utilized to study the impact of macroeconomic variables on diversification in Nigeria for the period 1981-2015, using the bounds test approach to cointegration on data generated from secondary sources. Cointegration was found to exist between the economic diversification indicators and associated variables. We also found that capital formation, real effective exchange rate, domestic credit to private sector and foreign direct investment promote diversification. Government efforts in Nigeria should be geared towards diversifying the economy using oil revenue, promote foreign direct investment in the non-oil sector, provide fixed capital, encourage the flow of credit to the private sector, and implement a cautious exchange rate regime.
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