国家创新体系与增长的外部约束

Marco Flávio Cunha Resende, D. Torres
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引用次数: 3

摘要

根据出口导向型增长模型的文献,各国之间进口需求和出口需求的收入弹性的差异会对增长产生不同程度的外部约束。然而,在这篇文献中,并没有使用国家创新系统(NIS)的进化概念来解释为什么国家之间的收入弹性存在差异。此外,对于弹性的外源性还没有达成共识。一些作者强调,高技术强度部门的出口需求具有高水平的收入弹性。然而,这些作者似乎没有解释这样做的动机。本文的目的是从理论上展示一个经济体的NIS、其收入弹性和其经常账户绩效之间的因果关系。它还旨在显示NIS在收入弹性的外生性/内生性中的作用。实证证据和格兰杰因果检验提出,并没有拒绝论文的核心论点。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
National Innovation System and external constraint on growth
According to the literature on export-led growth models differences in income elasticities of demand for imports and exports among countries bring about different degrees of external constraint on growth. However, there is not in this literature an explanation that uses the Evolutionary concept of National Innovation System (NIS) that shows why there are differences in income elasticities among countries. Moreover, there is not a consensus about the exogenicity of the elasticities. Some authors highlight the high level of income elasticity of demand for exports in sectors with high level of technological intensity. However these authors seem to not explain the motive for this. The aim of this paper is to theoretically show the causal relation between an economy's NIS, its income elasticities and its Current Account performance. It also aims to show the role of NIS in the exogeinicity/endogeinicity of the income elasticities. Empirical evidence and a Granger Causality Test are presented and do not reject the core argument of the paper.
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