海上管道更换项目规划:以西北爪哇海上为例

Jordy Apcar, .. Silvianita, D. Rosyid, M. Khamidi, Januar Murdan
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引用次数: 0

摘要

导致项目延误的因素有很多,例如飓风,天气因素之一,使工作无法进行,或者缺乏公用事业和施工设备,采购材料订单的延误,缺乏经验和熟练的人力资源,延迟成本降低到项目上的采购活动。此外,在关键活动中存在延迟,因为它们对项目的持续时间有很大的影响。因此,有必要通过寻找对项目至关重要的活动和可能导致新管道项目延迟的因素来进行分析,因为它可能危及业主和承包商。本研究将讨论三个因素,即(1)关键路径的确定,(2)可能导致延误的根本原因的确定,以及(3)随着时间的推移,印度尼西亚西北爪哇新管道更换项目的风险。该项目有4个延期迹象,分别发生在2018年6月、2018年9月和2018年10月。目标值与实际值的最大偏差出现在2018年10月,为5.05%。本研究采用六西格玛分析法、关键路径分析法、故障树分析法及事件树分析法。故障树分析的结果将得到导致项目延误的首要事件的概率值。事件树分析的结果将得到导致延迟的每个因素的风险级别。六西格玛的结果将找到问题的根源,西格玛的价值,以及采取的纠正措施。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Project Planning of Offshore Pipelines Replacement: Study Case at Offshore North West Java
There are many factors that lead to project delay, for example hurricane, one of weather factors that make it impossible to do work or factors like lack of utilities and construction equipment, delays in purchasing material orders, lack of experienced and skilled human resources in the field, delay costs down to purchase activities on the project. In addition, there are delays in critical activities because they have a large impact on the duration of the project. Therefore, it is necessary to do an analysis by looking for activities that are critical to the project and factors that can cause delays in the new pipeline project because it can endanger the owners and contractors. This study will discuss three factors, i.e. (1) the determination of the critical path, (2) the determination of the root causes that can cause delays, and (3) the risk of over time, of new pipelines replacement project in North West Java, Indonesia. There are 4 indications of delay in this project, which are delay that occurred in June 2018, September 2018, and October 2018. The biggest deviation between the targeted value and the actual value occurred in October 2018, which was 5,05%. This study uses six sigma methods, critical path, fault tree analysis and event tree analysis. The results of fault tree analysis will get the probability value for the top event of the project delay. The results of the event tree analysis will get the risk level of each factor that causes delays. Six sigma results will get to the root of the problem, the value of sigma, and what corrective action is taken.
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