个位数通胀目标与经济增长

R. Ayisi
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引用次数: 2

摘要

近年来,大多数央行都采取了以通胀为目标的货币政策,主要目的是实现个位数的通胀。虽然文献表明低通胀水平促进经济增长,但文献对促进增长所需的通胀门槛水平保持沉默。发展中国家的研究试图估计促进经济增长的通胀门槛水平,但并不支持个位数的通胀水平。随之而来的问题是,个位数的通胀是否会支持经济增长。因此,本研究探讨了个位数通胀是否对经济增长有任何积极影响,以及通胀目标制政策是否促进了经济增长。该研究使用了从1965年到2011年的Gha na年度时间序列数据。运用自回归分布滞后模型技术,研究发现,无论从短期还是长期来看,个位数通货膨胀对经济增长都没有显著影响。然而,研究结果支持通胀目标制政策在短期和长期都是促进增长的工具。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Single-Digit Inflation Targeting and Economic Growth
In recent times, most central banks have adopted in flation-targeting monetary policy approach aimed primarily to achieve single-digit inflation. Though , the literature suggest that low level of inflatio n promotes economic growth, the literature is silent on the th reshold inflation level needed to promote growth. S tudies in developing countries that seek to estimate the t hreshold level of inflation that promotes economic growth do not support single-digit inflation level. The qu estion that arises is whether single-digit inflatio n support economic growth. The study thus investigate whether single-digit inflation has any positive effect on economic growth and whether inflation-targeting pol icy promotes economic growth. The study used annual time series data spanning from 1965 to 2011 for Gha na. Using autoregressive distributed lag model technique, the study found that single-digit inflat ion has no significant effect on economic growth bo th in the short and long run. However, the findings of th e study supports inflation targeting policy as grow th enhancing tool in both short and long run.
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