犯罪之旅:性犯罪者要走多远才能犯罪?

Myeonggi Hong, H. Jang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究在探讨环境犯罪学的基础上,旨在厘清犯罪分子实施犯罪的距离。验证犯罪分子在犯罪过程中移动了多少,可以预测距离,有助于警方调查。研究结果显示,性犯罪的密度在犯罪者居住地2公里以内最高,之后逐渐减少。通过OLS回归分析证实,犯罪的移动距离不仅根据犯罪分子的特征而变化,而且根据犯罪分子与被害人的关系、是否插入尸体、是否使用强制手段等作案方式而变化。另外,对犯罪方法进行潜在等级分析的结果显示,根据性犯罪的潜在(群体)类型,性犯罪的活动距离也有所不同。最后,在综合研究结果的基础上,讨论了基于证据的警务需要的地理侧写的发展方向以及由于分析数据的问题而存在的局限性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Journey to Crime: How much does a sex offender travel to commit a crime?
Based on the discussion of environmental criminology, this study aims to identify the distance criminals journey to commit crimes. Verifying how much a criminal moves to commit a crime has the advantage of predicting the distance and helping the police investigation. According to the results of the study, sex crimes showed the highest density within 2km of the criminal's residence, and after that, they gradually decreased. As a result of OLS regression analysis, it was confirmed that the distance of movement of a crime varies not only according to the characteristics of the criminal but also according to modus operandi such as the relationship between the criminal and the victim, whether the body is inserted, and whether coercive means are used. In addition, as a result of the potential class analysis of criminal methods, there was a difference in the distance of movement of sex crimes according to the potential (group) type of sex crimes. Finally, by synthesizing the results, the development direction of geographic profiling required for evidence-based policing and limitations were discussed due to the problem of analysis data.
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