2019年中国猪肉价格上涨原因分析

Xu Lili
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引用次数: 0

摘要

首先,本文介绍了2019年中国猪肉价格的异常上涨。然后,从需求侧和供给侧分析了猪肉价格上涨的原因。通过数据分析和文献回顾,发现需求侧总体稳定,问题主要是供给侧大幅减少。具体原因有:非洲猪瘟疫情的爆发,地方环保政策和规模化养殖政策的不合理推进,“生猪周期”的内生推进,进口猪肉无法弥补不足。这引发了我们对市场配置资源、政策制定与实施、政府监管等方面的思考。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Analysis of the Reasons for China’s Rising Pork Prices in 2019
Firstly, the paper introduces the abnormal rise of pork price in China in 2019. And then, it analyzes the reasons for rising pork prices from the demand side and the supply side. Through analyzing data and reviewing literature, it was found that the demand side was generally stable, and the problem was mainly due to the substantial reduction in the supply side. The specific reasons are as follows: the outbreak of the Infection with African swine fever virus(ASF), unreasonable promotion of local environmental protection policies and large-scale breeding policies, endogenous promotion of "hog cycle" and the imported pork can’t make up the shortfall. This triggered our thinking in terms of market allocation of resources, policy formulation and implementation, and government regulation.
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