对波罗的海地区国家投资发展路径概念的评价:我们在哪里?

A. Borowicz
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引用次数: 1

摘要

在欧盟(EU),有四个波罗的海地区(BSR)国家——爱沙尼亚、拉脱维亚、立陶宛和波兰——它们被以下事实联系在一起:获得欧盟成员国资格的共同时刻,从共产主义到民主的共同历史道路,以及成为BSR的一部分。虽然所选的国家有着共同的根源,但就经济发展而言,它们似乎走的是不同的道路。投资发展路径(Investment development path, IDP)是邓宁提出的一个概念,强调一个国家的发展是一个积极的资本输出国的结果。本文旨在从国内生产总值的角度评估四个选定经济体的进展。分析考虑了它们特有的经济决定因素。所采用的方法包括定量方法和定性方法。在定性方法中,文献综述简要介绍了邓宁的IDP范式。对现有实证研究的回顾突出了本文的贡献。定量方法包括统计数据,说明选定国家在国内流离失所者方面取得的进展。这些数据来自联合国贸易和发展会议(贸发统计局)和欧盟统计局。接受调查的BSR国家在经济增长方面存在差异。然而,它们有一个共同点,那就是保持资本输入国的角色。在波兰和立陶宛,外国直接投资(FDI)的对外存量增长最快。然而,波兰和爱沙尼亚似乎将比拉脱维亚和立陶宛在国内流离失所者的阶梯上爬得更快。在所有情况下,这些国家的对外直接投资(OFDI)的年增长率都高于对内外国直接投资(IFDI),这表明它们都处于IDI的第三阶段。然而,复杂的分析揭示了差异,为这些BSR国家的发展道路进展提供了新的视角。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Evaluation of the Investment Development Path concept in selected Baltic Sea Region states: Where are we?
In the European Union (EU), there are four Baltic Sea Region (BSR) states – Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, and Poland – which are interlinked by the following facts: the common moment of obtaining EU membership, a common historical path from communism to democracy, and being part of the BSR. Although the selected countries share common roots, it seems that, in terms of the economic development, they may follow a different path. Investment development path (IDP), a concept developed by J.H. Dunning, stresses that the development of a country is a result of being an active exporter of capital. This paper aims to evaluate the progress of the four selected economies in terms of their IDP. The analysis takes into consideration their peculiar economic determinants. The methods used include quantitative and qualitative methods. Among the qualitative methods, a literature review briefly presents Dunning’s IDP paradigm. The review of existing empirical research highlights the contributions of the paper. The quantitative methods cover the statistical data illustrating the progress of the selected countries in terms of the IDP. The data were obtained from United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTADStat) and Eurostat. The BSR states under investigation differ in terms of their economic growth. However, they share a common denominator of maintaining the role of importer of capital. The highest dynamics of the growth of the outward stock of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) was observed in Poland and Lithuania. It is Poland and Estonia, however, that seemingly will climb on the ladder of IDP faster than Latvia and Lithuania. In all cases, these countries deal with higher dynamics of annual growth of Outward Foreign Direct Investment (OFDI) than Inward Foreign Direct Investment (IFDI), which suggests that all are at the third stage of IDI. However complex analysis reveals differences that shed new light on the progress of development paths of these BSR states.
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