经济预测的理论与实践:大卫·f·亨德利访谈

Neil R. Ericsson
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引用次数: 16

摘要

大卫·亨德利在经济预测的许多领域都做出了重大贡献。他发展了预测错误的分类和不可预测性理论,对预测的本质产生了有价值的见解。他还对许多现有的预测技术提出了新的观点,包括均方预测误差、添加因子、领先指标、预测池和多步估计。此外,David还开发了新的预测工具,如预报涵盖;他还改进了现有的技术,比如临近预报和对断裂的鲁棒化。本期《国际预测杂志》的采访探讨了大卫·亨德利在预测方面的研究。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Economic Forecasting in Theory and Practice: An Interview with David F. Hendry
David Hendry has made major contributions to many areas of economic forecasting. He has developed a taxonomy of forecast errors and a theory of unpredictability that have yielded valuable insights into the nature of forecasting. He has also provided new perspectives on many existing forecast techniques, including mean square forecast errors, add factors, leading indicators, pooling of forecasts, and multi-step estimation. In addition, David has developed new forecast tools, such as forecast encompassing; and he has improved existing ones, such as nowcasting and robustification to breaks. This interview for the International Journal of Forecasting explores David Hendry’s research on forecasting.
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