短期内全球经济面临金融风险

M. Golovnin
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文探讨了全球经济在短期内(主要是在2023年)面临的主要风险,这些风险来自金融业。全球经济正在向高通货膨胀率和低经济增长率的经济发展模式过渡。国际金融体系面临的短期风险主要是碎片化进程蔓延,国际金融市场波动加剧,个别国家债务问题加剧。从长期来看,最严重的问题可能是全球债务问题和国际金融体系日益分裂。在金融领域开展全球合作的关键领域是,继续推进国际金融体系改革,将监管范围扩大到尚未受到影响的领域(证券市场、数字金融),寻求解决债务问题的办法,加强新兴市场国家和发展中国家在决策过程中的地位。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
FINANCIAL RISKS FOR GLOBAL ECONOMY IN THE SHORT TERM
The article examines the main risks for the global economy in the short term, primarily in 2023, coming from the financial sector. There is a transition to a model of economic development with higher inflation rates and lower economic growth in global economy. The main short-term risks for the international financial system are mainly the spread of fragmentation processes, as well as an increase in volatility in international financial markets, and the exacerbation of the debt problem in individual countries. In the long term, the most serious problems may be the global debt problem and the increasing fragmentation of the international financial system. The key areas for the development of global cooperation in the financial sector are the continuation of the reform of the international financial system with the spread of regulation to sectors that have not been affected yet (securities markets, digital finance), the search for a solution to the debt problem, strengthening the positions of countries with emerging markets and developing countries in decision-making process.
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