民粹主义的兴起与民主危机:突尼斯案例

So-Yeon Ahn
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摘要

最初点燃 "阿拉伯之春 "的突尼斯是唯一一个成功向民主过渡的参与国。然而,在此后的政治过渡时期,经济危机愈演愈烈。在突尼斯公民日益增长的政治不满情绪下,民粹主义抬头,而民粹主义通常会在民主陷入危机时出现。突尼斯公民选举现任总统凯斯-赛义德作为既有政治的替代者。然而,由于总统试图削弱政党的力量,突尼斯民主的未来变得更加脆弱。本研究考察了突尼斯过去 11 年政治向民主过渡的过程,并从民粹主义和民主的角度探讨了当前的危机。研究结果证实,突尼斯公民的政治不满源于经济危机,而非民主过渡。根据这一推理,如果现任总统不能解决公民的政治不满,那么突尼斯可能会出现第二次茉莉花革命。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Rise of Populism and Crisis of Democracy: The Case of Tunisia
Initially igniting the Arab Spring, Tunisia is the sole participating country that managed to transition toward democracy. However, during the period of political transition since then, the economic crisis has increased. Under the mounting political grievance of Tunisian citizens, populism has risen, which usually emerges when democracy is in crisis. The Tunisian citizens elected current president Kais Saied as an alternative to established politics. However, as the president attempts to decrease the power of political parties, the future of democracy in Tunisia has become more fragile. This study examines the process of transitioning politically to democracy in Tunisia over the past 11 years and explores the current crisis through the lens of populism and democracy. The result confirms that Tunisian citizens’ political grievance stems from the economic crisis and not the transition to democracy. With this reasoning, if the current president cannot address citizens’ political frustration, conditions might enable a second Jasmine Revolution in Tunisia.
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