未来在东亚的维和行动

W. Kim
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引用次数: 0

摘要

1. 冷战结束以来,国际社会既经历了一体化,也经历了解体,同时朝着构建稳定与繁荣的新秩序的方向前进。这一进程至少可能在整个本世纪继续下去,但在此期间,国际社会将继续处于一个不太稳定的世界中。在这种环境下,每个国家都有必要做出自己独立的安全努力。越南战争结束后,亚洲持续了一段相对稳定的时期。不用说,亚洲的稳定源于美国。能够承受压力。这一机制发挥了令人满意的作用,该区域内的每个国家都能够在安全的政治条件下取得显著的经济发展。如果亚洲继续保持这样的经济增长,进入下个世纪,它将能够成为一个享有最稳定和繁荣的地区。然而,自冷战结束以来,不稳定的根源以及固有的潜在危险和牺牲正在开始出现。这种稳定的原因是,主要领导国家之间的权力平衡正在造成一种结构变化,其中包括加强军事开支、扩大武器扩散以及该区域各国之间的利弊,特别是在共享国界的国家之间的领土、民族和宗教问题上的利弊。如果亚洲各国不能明智地克服不稳定的根源,就不能指望亚洲继续保持和平与稳定;因此,本区域各国比以往任何时候都更需要作出更多努力。东北亚似乎是受冷战结束影响最小的亚洲地区。尽管如此,自冷战结束以来,东北亚国家之间的关系发生了一些变化,但关于俄罗斯和中国的军事力量,目前还不清楚实际的趋势是什么。此外,朝鲜半岛潜在不稳定的原因没有改变。实际上,该地区国家之间的关系有所改善,但所有国家都在增加潜在的军事力量,同时升级武器系统并进行军事合作。在这种情况下,北韩核问题在20世纪80年代后期开始成为东北亚稳定与安全的主要问题。特别是,北韩于1993年3月宣布退出《核不扩散条约》(NPT)后,北韩核开发问题不仅成为亚洲的核心问题,而且成为国际社会的和平与安全问题。这不仅是一个严重挑战包括朝鲜半岛在内的东北亚和平与稳定的问题,也威胁到全球核不扩散体系,要求有关国家迅速采取行动,制定政策解决这一问题。本文论述了与朝鲜问题有关的问题,并评价了有关国家作出的反应的意义,讨论了各种事实之间存在的一些差距。*
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Future peacekeeping activities in East Asia
1. Since the end of the Cold War, the international community has experienced both integration and dis-integration while heading in the direction of constructing a new order aimed at stability and prosperity. This process is likely to continue throughout this century at a minimum, but during that time, the international community will continue in a world that is less than stable. Within this environment, it will be necessary that each nation make its own independent security effort. After the Vietnam War ended, a relatively stable period of time has continued in Asia. The stability of Asia, it goes without saying, resulted from the US. ability to bring pressure to bear. That functioned satisfactorily and each nation within the region was able to remarkably develop economically under secure political conditions. If Asia continues to sustain its this economic growth into the next century, it will be able to become a region that enjoys the greatest stability and prosperity. Since the end of the Cold War, however, sources of instability and the inherent potential danger and sacrifice are beginning to appear. The cause of this stability is that the balance of power among the principal leading nations is causing a structural change that includes the reinforcement of military expenditure, expansion of weapons proliferation and advantages and disadvantages among the nations of the region, especially, over territorial, nationality and religious issues between nations that share national borders. To the extent that various Asian nations are unable to wisely overcome the causes of instability, continued peace and stability in Asia cannot be expected; therefore, more than any other time, additional efforts are required by each country within the region. Northeast Asia appears to be a region of Asia where the end of the Cold War has had the least impact. Nevertheless, relations among the nations of Northeast Asia have undergone some changes since the end of the Cold War, but it is not clear what the actual trends are regarding the military power of Russia and China. Furthermore, the causes for potential instability on the Korean peninsula remain unchanged. There are actually improvements in relations among the nations in the region, but all of the nations are increasing their potential military power, while at the same time, upgrading their weapons systems and engaging in military cooperation. Under these circumstances, the North Korea nuclear development issue began to surface as a major problem for stability and security in Northeast Asia during the late 1980s. Specifically, the North Korea nuclear development issue started becoming a key concern, not only for Asia, but as a peace and security matter for the international community too, when North Korea announced in March of 1993, its intention to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty(NPT). This is not only a problem that gravely challenges the peace and stability of Northeast Asia, including the Korean peninsula, it also threatens the global nuclear non-proliferation regime and calls for swift action by the nations concerned to formulate policy to resolve the problem. This paper addresses the issues relevant to North Korea’s problem and assesses the significance of the responses made by the concerned nations discussing some of the gaps existing among the various facts. *
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