宏观经济变量和俏皮50一起移动吗

P. Bhatia
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引用次数: 1

摘要

股市的走势受到宏观经济中许多变量的影响。一个经济体的通货膨胀、利率、汇率和相关参数的变化模式和趋势可能对股票市场的走势产生影响。在本研究中,我们试图分析宏观经济变量(汇率、外国直接投资、外汇储备、工业生产指数和批发价格指数)是否与国家证券交易所指数(Nifty 50)一致。对2009年1月至2018年3月的月度数据使用约翰森协整分析和向量自回归模型来解释结果。研究发现,长期来看,各变量之间不存在协整关系。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Do Macro Economic Variables and Nifty 50 Move Together
The stock market moves in contagion with many variables at macro level from the economy. The changing patterns and trends in inflation, interest rates, exchange rates and related parameters for an economy may create an impact on the stock market movements. In the present study, we have attempted to analyze that whether the macroeconomic variables (exchange rate, foreign direct investment, foreign exchange reserves, index of industrial production and wholesale price index) move in line with National Stock Exchange’s index (Nifty 50). Johansen Co-integration analysis along with Vector Auto Regression model has been used on a monthly data from January 2009 to March 2018 to interpret the results. It ha s been found that there is no co-integration between the variables in the long run.
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