基于仿真的铁路钢梁桥梁可靠性分析

Mehmet Fatih Yilmaz, K. Ozakgul, Barlas Ozden Caglayan
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引用次数: 1

摘要

桥梁是交通运输系统的重要组成部分,桥梁的安全性和可持续性对其高效运行至关重要。由于资源稀缺,应该确定一种经济的方式来设计和维护桥梁和一般的交通系统。可靠性指标被广泛用于半概率方法中对这些概念的分析。然而,计算机技术的进步使实现全概率方法成为可能。本文对铁路钢梁桥进行了基于仿真的可靠性分析。桥梁的统计参数是通过分析文献中现有的知识体系和进行样本测试来确定的。采用贝叶斯方法更新了钢材料的统计性能。基本蒙特卡罗模拟(MCS)是用来模拟桥梁的荷载和阻力。桥梁的可靠度是根据其极限状态和统计荷载分布来确定的。通过仿真,分析了得到的对数正态边缘分布的一致性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Simulation-Based Reliability Analysis of Steel Girder Railway Bridges
Bridges are an essential component of the transportation system and safety and sustainability of bridges are critical for the efficient operation thereof. Due to scarcity of resources, an economical way should be determined to design and maintain bridges and the transportation system in general. Reliability indexes are widely used in the analysis of these concepts within a semi-probabilistic approach. However, advances in computer technology allow implementing a fully-probabilistic approach. This study represents a simulation-based reliability analysis of steel girder bridges in the railway lines. Statistical parameters of the bridges are determined both analysing the existing body of knowledge available in the literature and conducting specimen tests. The Bayesian approach is used to update the statistical properties of the steel material. Basic Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS) is used to simulate the load and resistance of the bridge. The reliability of the bridges is determined according to their ultimate limit states and statistical load distribution. By using simulation, the consistency of the log-normal marginal distribution obtained is analysed herein.
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