探究美国选民党派之争的基础:社会认同与意识形态

A. Abramowitz, Kyle L. Saunders
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引用次数: 231

摘要

本文使用1952-2004年美国全国选举研究和2004年美国全国出口民调的数据来比较意识形态和社会群体成员对政党认同的影响。与Green、Palmquist和Schickler(2002)认为政党忠诚根植于选民的社会认同的观点相反,我们发现政党认同与选民的意识形态偏好的关系要比与其群体成员身份所定义的社会认同的关系强得多。自20世纪70年代以来,对共和党的认同在南方内外的白人中大幅增加,其中最显著的增长发生在已婚选民、男性和天主教徒中。然而,在这些亚群体中,共和党的胜利主要或完全发生在自认为是保守派的人群中。因此,意识形态与政党认同之间的关系急剧增加。这对投票行为具有重要意义。意识形态和政党认同之间的一致性增加,有助于在总统和国会选举中提高对政党的忠诚度。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Exploring the Bases of Partisanship in the American Electorate: Social Identity vs. Ideology
This article uses data from the 1952-2004 American National Election Studies and the 2004 U.S. National Exit Poll to compare the influence of ideology and membership in social groups on party identification. Contrary to the claim by Green, Palmquist, and Schickler (2002) that party loyalties are rooted in voters’ social identities, we find that party identification is much more strongly related to voters’ ideological preferences than to their social identities as defined by their group memberships. Since the 1970s, Republican identification has increased substantially among whites inside and outside of the South with the most dramatic gains occurring among married voters, men, and Catholics. Within these subgroups, however, Republican gains have occurred mainly or exclusively among self-identified conservatives. As a result, the relationship between ideology and party identification has increased dramatically. This has important implications for voting behavior. Increased consistency between ideology and party identification has contributed to higher levels of party loyalty in presidential and congressional elections.
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