最小化美国通货膨胀抑制法案对韩国电动汽车供应链损害的谈判对策

Paik-Hyun Suh
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摘要

预计美国的《通货膨胀抑制法》将对韩国和欧盟(EU)的电动汽车产业造成重大打击。本研究的重点是韩国和美国之间的谈判措施,以尽量减少与汽车产业供应链相关的损害,这是预计从IRA的实施。IRA的最终目的是建立以美国为中心的电动汽车生产生态系统,从韩国汽车产业的角度来看,有必要摆脱迄今为止对电池主要原材料的依赖,并对供应链进行重组或大幅调整。就IRA而言,考虑到电动汽车和电池的未来增长动力,韩美谈判和韩中谈判都具有重要意义。在与美国的谈判中,韩国最好认识到问题的本质是源于美国的多边经济霸权,并根据原则进行谈判,即排除与美国和中国的政治和外交关系的解决问题的态度。对于美国来说,追求一种战略是可取的,这种战略可以最大限度地从当地外国直接投资中获得实际利益,而不是专注于适用《IRA法案》的例外情况。如果韩国完全接受美国的立场,做出不利于中国利益的决定,就有可能遭到中国的报复威胁,我们必须在各个层面做好准备。”
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Negotiation Measures to Minimize the Damage Caused by the US Inflation Reduction Act to Korean Electric Automobile Supply Chain
The US Inflation Reduction Act is expected to cause significant damage to the electric vehicle industry in Korea and EU. This study focuses on negotiation measures between Korea and USA to minimize damages related to the supply chain of the automobile industry, which is expected from the implementation of the IRA. The IRA is ultimately intended to build a US-centered electric vehicle production ecosystem, and from the standpoint of the Korean automobile industry, it is necessary to move away from relying on China for major raw materials for batteries so far, and to restructure or significantly adjust the supply chain. Regarding the IRA, both the Korea-US negotiations and the Korea-China negotiations have important meaning considering the future growth engines of electric vehicles and batteries. In negotiations with the United States, it is desirable for Korea to recognize that the nature of the issue is derived from the multilateral economic hegemony of the United States, and to engage in negotiations based on principle, that is, a problem-solving attitude that excludes political and diplomatic relations with both the United States and China. For the US, it is desirable to pursue a strategy that maximizes the actual benefits that can be obtained from local foreign direct investment rather than focusing on the application of exceptions to the IRA Act. If Korea fully accepts the US position on the IRA and makes a decision against China’s interests, there may be a threat of retaliation from China, and we must prepare for this at various levels.
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