基于人工神经网络的短期节点电力负荷预测

I. Blinov, V. Miroshnyk, P. Shymaniuk
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引用次数: 0

摘要

根据当前电力市场的发展趋势,配电和输电系统运营商必须购买电力来弥补其在电网和批发电力市场上的损失。通过将预测损失的误差减少1%,每年将减少补偿不平衡的成本1.312亿美元,这将降低配电和输电的关税。该研究描述了用于节点电力负荷短期预测的深度学习人工神经网络的不同架构的比较分析。对人工神经网络结构与经典预测方法的预测结果进行了比较。数据来自美国西北地区和土耳其电力系统。研究结果表明,深度学习神经网络优于经典方法。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Short-term Nodal Electrical Load Forecasting with Artificial Neural Networks
According to current trends in the development of electricity markets, distribution and transmission system operators must purchase electricity to cover their losses in the networks and the wholesale electricity market. By reducing the error in forecasting losses by 1%, this will reduce the cost of compensating for imbalances in the amount of 131.2 million per year, which will reduce tariffs for distribution and transmission of electricity. The study describes a comparative analysis of different architectures of artificial neural networks of deep learning for short-term forecasting of nodal electrical load. A comparison of the results of forecasting artificial neural network architectures and classical forecasting methods was performed. Data from the Northwestern region of the United States and Turkish power system were used. The results of the study show that neural networks of deep learning are superior to classical methods.
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