俄罗斯劳动生产率结构变化的识别

E. Potaptseva, S. Smirnykh, M. Franz
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摘要

本文旨在研究俄罗斯经济中劳动生产率的长期变化。本研究的目的是对俄罗斯劳动生产率的结构性变化进行实证估计。为了达到目的,采用了统计、描述和计量分析的方法。这项研究的资料基础是经济合作与发展组织(经合发组织)、经济和社会学数据统一档案、国际劳工组织(劳工组织)和俄罗斯联邦联邦国家统计局关于劳动生产率的数据。在研究过程中,始终解决了以下任务:首先,对结构变化的识别方法进行了系统化;其次,对实证数据、工具和研究方法进行了描述;第三,对俄罗斯(2003-2018年)劳动生产率的结构性变化进行了识别。计量经济学分析结果显示,俄罗斯劳动生产率的结构性变化发生在2008年第二季度:2003-2008年的年均增长率为5.96%,2008 - 2018年的年均增长率仅为0.27%。劳动生产率的结构性变化与外部冲击对俄罗斯经济的负面影响有关:2008-2009年的全球金融危机和2014年对俄罗斯的经济制裁。关键词:劳动生产率,结构变化识别,俄罗斯
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Identification of Structural Changes in Labor Productivity in Russia
–This article aims to study long-term changes in labor productivity in the Russian economy. The aim of the study is an empirical estimation of structural changes in labor productivity in Russia. To achieve the goal, the methods of statistical, descriptive and econometric analysis were used. The informational basis for the study was the data on labor productivity of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), the Unified Archive of Economic and Sociological Data (UAESD), the International Labor Organization (ILO) and the Federal State Statistics Service of the Russian Federation. In the course of the study, the following tasks were consistently solved: firstly, methods for identifying structural changes have been systematized; secondly, empirical data, tools and research methods have been described; thirdly, the identification of structural changes in labor productivity in Russia (for the period 2003-2018) has been carried out. The results of econometric analysis showed that structural changes in labor productivity in Russia took place in the second quarter of 2008: its average annual growth rate was 5.96% in 2003-2008 and only 0.27% in 2008–2018. The structural changes in labor productivity is associated with the negative impact on the Russian economy of external shocks: the global financial crisis of 2008–2009 and economic sanctions imposed on Russia in 2014. Keywords—labor productivity, structural changes identification, Russia
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