N. Rajaković
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摘要

根据几乎所有的估计,塞尔维亚需要对新的可再生能源进行大量投资。塞尔维亚具有经济上可行的可再生能源(太阳能、风能、水电、生物质能、地热能等)潜力,因此电力系统的生产结构应越来越多地以可再生能源为基础。本文试图回答以下问题:塞尔维亚是否需要新的生产能力,塞尔维亚是否需要可再生能源的新生产能力,最后,哪一个可再生能源目前最适合?本文评估了这是否是加速塞尔维亚能源转型进程的正确时机,以及通过更快地过渡到可再生能源来确保更可持续增长和发展的机会。本文从增加可再生能源的电力生产,以及提高能源效率和使能源生产和消费脱碳的措施开始,是能源转型的支柱,同时也是塞尔维亚加入能源共同体和接受国际气候协议的承诺的实质。本文假设,通过提高能源部门的效率和可再生能源的使用,欧洲的政策目标可以在塞尔维亚实现,能源部门可以被定位为稳定和可持续经济发展的引擎。次级效应将导致增加可持续就业、减少公共债务和提高该部门的竞争力。因此,能源转型应被视为一个发展机遇。塞尔维亚建设大型可再生能源发电厂,特别是大型太阳能发电厂,并加入欧盟绿色协议,无疑标志着塞尔维亚正在发展现代、环保、有竞争力和区域一体化的能源系统。这将促使对能源部门现代化进行必要的投资,并能够吸引外国直接投资。实现这一愿景需要在国家和区域两级采取果断的政治行动。太阳能项目生产千瓦时电力的成本最低,实施速度最快,对环境和社会的影响最小。此外,为了减少生产的同时性,可以通过在区域内分布的一系列大中型项目来实现大的装机容量。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Da li je pravo vreme za izgradnju velike solarne elektrane u Srbiji?
According to almost all estimates, significant investments in new renewable energy sources in Serbia are needed. Serbia has economically viable potentials of renewable energy sources (RES) (solar energy, wind energy, hydropower, biomass energy, geothermal energy, etc.), so the structure of the production mix in the electricity system should increasingly be based on renewable sources. In this paper, an attempt is made to answer the following questions: does Serbia need new production capacities, does Serbia need new production capacities from RES, and finally, which of the RES would be the most suitable at the moment? The paper assesses whether this is exactly the right moment to accelerate the process of energy transition in Serbia, as well as the opportunity to ensure a more sustainable growth and development through a faster transition to RES. It starts from the fact that increasing the production of electricity from RES, together with measures to increase energy efficiency and decarbonize energy production and consumption, is the backbone of the energy transition and at the same time the essence of Serbia's commitments by joining the Energy Community and accepting international climate agreements. The paper assumes that by increasing the efficiency of the energy sector and use of RES, European policy goals can be achieved in Serbia and that energy sector can be positioned as an engine of stability and sustainable economic development. Secondary effects will lead to increased sustainable employment, reduced public debt and increased competitiveness of the sector. Therefore, the energy transition should be seen as a development opportunity. The construction of large RES plants, especially large solar power plants in Serbia and joining the EU Green Deal, is certainly a signal that Serbia is well on its way to developing a modern, environmentally friendly, competitive and regionally integrated energy system. This will trigger the necessary investments in the modernization of the energy sector and enable the attraction of foreign direct investments. Achieving this vision requires decisive political action at the national and regional levels. Solar projects have the lowest levelized costs of produced kWh of electricity, they are the fastest to implement and they have the least environmental and social impact. Also, large installed capacity can be achieved through a series of large and medium-sized projects that would be territorially distributed in order to reduce the simultaneity of production.
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