失业保险与求职行为

I. Marinescu, Daphné Skandalis
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引用次数: 36

摘要

失业保险可以通过失业人员求职行为的各个维度影响失业持续时间和再就业工资。我们利用新的纵向数据揭示了UI对求职行为的影响:我们将行政登记与一个主要在线搜索平台的数据联系起来,并跟踪了大约50万法国工人在失业期间发送的工作申请。在考虑了样本构成的变化之后,我们确定了由UI引起的个人搜索行为的变化,这些变化围绕着利益耗尽。动态选择——以及失业时间的影响——即:时间依赖。我们表明,在福利耗尽前一年,寻找工作的努力(工作申请的数量)至少增加了50%,此后仍然相对较高。目标月工资在福利耗尽前一年至少下降2.4%,此后保持相对较低水平。我们记录了围绕福利耗尽的特别大的动态选择,因为一些员工在筋疲力尽之前会加大搜索力度,从而更快地找到工作。我们还展示了持续时间依赖性的证据:无论失业状态如何,工人每失业一年,他们的目标工资就会下降1.5%。总的来说,用户界面对个人搜索行为的影响与搜索模型的预测是一致的,并且构成了反对无搜索模型的证据,其中用户界面只是补贴休闲。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Unemployment Insurance and Job Search Behavior
Unemployment insurance (UI) can affect unemployment duration and re-employment wages, through various dimensions of unemployed workers’ job search behavior. We shed light on the effects of UI on job search behavior using new longitudinal data: we link administrative registers to data from a major online search platform, and track the job applications sent over the unemployment spells of about 500,000 French workers. We identify changes in individual search behavior caused by UI around benefits exhaustion, after accounting for changes in the sample composition—i.e. dynamic selection—and for the effect of the time spent unemployed—i.e. duration dependence. We show that search effort (the count of job applications) increases by at least 50% during the year preceding benefits exhaustion and remains relatively high thereafter. The target monthly wage decreases by at least 2.4% during the year preceding benefits exhaustion, and remains relatively low thereafter. We document particularly large dynamic selection around benefits exhaustion, as some workers increase their search effort more before exhaustion and find a job faster. We also show evidence for duration dependence: workers decrease their target wage by 1.5% over each year of unemployment, irrespective of their UI status. Overall, the effect of UI on individual search behavior is consistent with the predictions of search models and constitutes evidence against search-free models where UI merely subsidizes leisure.
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