银行危机对国际贸易的影响与发展程度有关吗?

S. Gil‐Pareja, R. Llorca‐Vivero, J. Martínez-Serrano
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引用次数: 4

摘要

本文分析了一国的经济发展程度如何影响银行危机对国际贸易的影响。为此,我们利用1975年至2012年期间139个国家的样本估算了贸易的引力模型。我们的研究结果表明,中等收入国家通常受到的负面影响最大。相比之下,金融动荡对高收入国家之间、尤其是低收入国家之间的双边贸易流动的影响似乎较小。金融发展水平、合同执行以及在国际贸易中使用银行信贷的程度都有助于解释我们的发现。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Does the Degree of Development Matter in the Impact of Banking Crises on International Trade?
This paper analyzes how a country's degree of economic development affects the impact of banking crises on international trade. To this end, we estimate a gravity model of trade using a sample of 139 countries over the period 1975–2012. Our results show that middle income countries are generally the most negatively affected. In contrast, financial turmoil appears to have less impact on bilateral trade flows among high income countries and, more specially, among low income nations. The level of financial development, contract enforcement, as well as the extent of the use of banking credit within international trade all help to explain our findings.
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