尼泊尔的公共支出与经济增长

D. Dangal, R. Gajurel
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引用次数: 4

摘要

本研究旨在评估公共支出的趋势,并显示尼泊尔公共支出与经济增长之间的关系。为了实现这些目标,使用1974/75至20108/19期间的时间序列数据集,采用图表、相关和回归方法。经济增长(RGDP)(以2009/10年度的实际GDP为基准)作为因变量,经常支出(RE)、资本支出(CE)、教育支出(EE)、卫生支出(HE)以及交通和通信支出(TCE)作为公共支出。研究表明,依赖因子和预测因子之间存在正相关关系。回归结果也证实了尼泊尔公共支出与经济增长之间存在正相关关系。其中,HE和TCE与RGDP呈负相关。本研究采用45个年度观测时间序列数据集,主要拟合回归模型来检验尼泊尔公共支出与经济增长之间的关系。本研究的主要政策启示是,政府和有关机构应更多地关注促进生产活动的资本支出,并注意经常支出。此外,教育、卫生、交通和通信是经济基础设施,因此政府最应注意增加对经济可能产生长期影响的部门的支出。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Public Expenditure and Economic Growth of Nepal
This study intended to evaluate the trends of public expenditure and to show the relationship between public expenditure and economic growth in Nepal. In order to fulfill these objectives, the chart, correlation, and regression were employed by using time series data sets over the period of 1974/75 to 20108/19. Economic growth (RGDP) (proxied as the real GDP with rebasing 2009/10) as dependent variable and recurrent expenditure (RE), capital expenditure (CE), expenditure on education (EE), expenditure on health (HE), and expenditure on transportation and communication (TCE) were proxied as public expenditure. The study revealed that there is positive correlation between dependent and predictors. The results of regression also confirmed that there is positive relationship between public expenditure on economic growth of Nepal. Particularly, HE and TCE had negative relationship with RGDP. This study applied 45 annually observed times series data sets and mainly fitted regression model to examine the relationship between public expenditure and economic growth in Nepal. The main policy implication of this study is that government and concern body should give more concern about capital expenditure for enhancing productive activities and attention about recurrent expenditure. Also, education, health, and transportation and communication are the economic infrastructure, so government should most attention to increase expenditure on these sectors that may produce long-run impact on economy.
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