汇率波动对加纳非传统出口的影响

C. Obeng
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引用次数: 4

摘要

加纳政府已经实施了一些政策,以加强非传统产品的生产和出口,作为加纳出口多样化的一种方式,但收效甚微。在这些政策中,最重要的是汇率自由化。与此同时,汇率一直非常不稳定。因此,本研究考察了汇率波动对加纳非传统出口的影响。本研究采用自回归分布滞后(ARDL)协整估计技术进行调查。结果表明,汇率波动对加纳的非传统出口产生了负面影响。而且,这种影响在长期内比在短期内更大。其他结果也表明,世界收入、经济增长率和国库券利率对非传统出口有促进作用,但实际有效汇率对非传统出口没有促进作用。本文的价值在于讨论汇率波动对加纳非传统出口的短期和长期影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Effects of Exchange Rate Volatility On Non-Traditional Exports In Ghana
The government of Ghana has implemented a number of policies to strengthen the production and export of non-traditional products as a way of diversifying exports in Ghana with very little success. Foremost among these policies is the liberalisation of exchange rate. Meanwhile, the exchange rate has been very volatile. The study, therefore, examines the effects of exchange rate volatility on non-traditional exports in Ghana.This study employed Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) cointegration estimation technique for the investigation. The results indicate that exchange rate volatility negatively impacts Ghana’s non-traditional exports. Also, the effect is greater in the long- run than it is in the short-run. Other results also show that world income, growth rate of the economy and Treasury bill rate promote non-traditional exports, but real effective exchange rate does not. rThe value of the paper lies in the discussion of the short-run and long-run effects of exchange rate volatility on non-traditional exports in the Ghanaian context.
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