利用监测资料揭示平流层过程在白俄罗斯共和国天气发展中的作用

T. Shlender, V. Zhuchkevich, S. Umreika, A. Krasovski
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本文的目的是研究平流层过程的最新趋势,特别是白俄罗斯共和国境内臭氧总量的差异及其与地面大气环流的关系。通过统计分析,证实了TO与地表温度的负相关关系,可以对中期天气预报进行校正。此外,还揭示了在春夏臭氧异常过程中TO与地表温度的相关性被破坏的事实。以2016年7月白俄罗斯境内发生的飓风为例,对臭氧机制对对流层环流过程影响的假设进行了理论论证和实践说明。飓风举例说明了平流层对对流层的部分影响,证明了急流和大梯度场对对流层顶高度的影响。因此,可以肯定地得出结论,夏季to的急剧变化可以导致对流层顶的强烈变化,同时在间隙区出现强大的急流,导致对流层下层天气条件的恶化。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Revealing a Role of Stratospheric Processes in the Development of Weather of the Republic of Belarus Employing Monitoring Data
The article aims at examining the latest trends in stratospheric processes, in particular, the differentiation of total ozone (TO) over the territory of the Republic of Belarus and their relationship with surface atmospheric circulation. As a result of the statistical analysis, the negative correlation link of TO and surface temperature, enabling to correct a medium-term weather forecast, is confirmed. Furthermore, the fact of violation of the correlation between TO and the surface temperature during the spring-summer ozone anomalies is revealed. The hypothesis of the influence of ozone mechanism on tropospheric circulation processes based on the specific case of the July hurricane of 2016 occurred over the territory of Belarus, is theoretically substantiated and practically illustrated. The hurricane has exemplified the partial effect of the stratosphere on the troposphere, demonstrating the influence of jet streams and large gradients in the field of TO on a height of the tropopause. Thus, one has been positive to conclude that summer sharp changes in TO can lead to strong tropopause variations along with the appearance of powerful jet streams in the gap zones resulted in deterioration of the weather conditions in the lower troposphere.
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