{"title":"不妥协:声誉谈判中的不确定成本","authors":"Jack Fanning","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.2907401","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Abstract I show how uncertainty about agents' future costs of delay can lead to substantial bargaining delays when agents have reputational concerns. Reputational concerns arise because with positive probability agents are behavioral types, committed to demanding a fixed share of the surplus. In equilibrium, rational agents may demand almost the entire surplus and then wait, with the deadlock only broken by the arrival of news about future costs, even as the probability of behavioral types vanishes. Although both agents would benefit from a compromise reached immediately, they do not propose such agreements, because doing so would increase an opponent's option value of waiting.","PeriodicalId":229249,"journal":{"name":"PSN: Bargaining Theory (Topic)","volume":"61 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2016-10-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"9","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"No Compromise: Uncertain Costs in Reputational Bargaining\",\"authors\":\"Jack Fanning\",\"doi\":\"10.2139/ssrn.2907401\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Abstract I show how uncertainty about agents' future costs of delay can lead to substantial bargaining delays when agents have reputational concerns. Reputational concerns arise because with positive probability agents are behavioral types, committed to demanding a fixed share of the surplus. In equilibrium, rational agents may demand almost the entire surplus and then wait, with the deadlock only broken by the arrival of news about future costs, even as the probability of behavioral types vanishes. Although both agents would benefit from a compromise reached immediately, they do not propose such agreements, because doing so would increase an opponent's option value of waiting.\",\"PeriodicalId\":229249,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"PSN: Bargaining Theory (Topic)\",\"volume\":\"61 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2016-10-12\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"9\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"PSN: Bargaining Theory (Topic)\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2907401\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"PSN: Bargaining Theory (Topic)","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2907401","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
No Compromise: Uncertain Costs in Reputational Bargaining
Abstract I show how uncertainty about agents' future costs of delay can lead to substantial bargaining delays when agents have reputational concerns. Reputational concerns arise because with positive probability agents are behavioral types, committed to demanding a fixed share of the surplus. In equilibrium, rational agents may demand almost the entire surplus and then wait, with the deadlock only broken by the arrival of news about future costs, even as the probability of behavioral types vanishes. Although both agents would benefit from a compromise reached immediately, they do not propose such agreements, because doing so would increase an opponent's option value of waiting.