东盟国家伊斯兰股票市场的错误定价

Arienka Prilitaningtyas, M. B. Prasetyo
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摘要

本研究的目的是检测四个东盟创始国(印度尼西亚、马来西亚、新加坡和泰国)对伊斯兰股票的错误定价。本研究采用三因素资产定价模型[1],选取2005年6月至2017年12月的每日个股价格,并根据其规模和账面市值比将其分为25个投资组合。这项研究没有发现印尼和马来西亚存在错误定价的证据,因此这些伊斯兰股票市场是有效的。在新加坡和泰国发现了不同的证据,因为在这些伊斯兰股票市场中,泰国伊斯兰股票市场可以发现显著的错误定价,而新加坡伊斯兰股票市场可以发现轻微的错误定价,这表明这些市场不是有效的。此外,本研究还发现,2008年金融危机仅对印度尼西亚和泰国伊斯兰股票市场有显著影响。本文通过关注新兴市场占主导地位的东盟地区的伊斯兰股票,对伊斯兰股票市场效率进行了新的认识,并且本研究还使用了单个股票的每日股价而不是指数水平数据。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Mispricing on Islamic Stock Markets in ASEAN Countries
The purpose of this study is to detect any mispricing on Islamic stock in four countries which are the founding fathers of ASEAN (Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapore, and Thailand). Three-factor Asset Pricing Model [1] is employed in this study with daily individual stock price from June 2005 until December 2017, and later categorized into 25 portfolios based on their size and book-to-market equity. This study found no evidence of mispricing in Indonesia and Malaysia so that these Islamic stock markets are efficient. Different evidence was found in Singapore and Thailand as in those Islamic stock markets significant mispricing can be found in Thailand Islamic Stock Market and marginally significant mispricing in Singapore Islamic Stock Market, which indicates those markets are not efficient. Moreover, this study also found that Financial Crisis 2008 only has a significant effect in Indonesia and Thailand Islamic Stock Market. This paper gives new insight of Islamic Stock Market Efficiencies by focusing on Islamic stock in ASEAN which is a region dominated by emerging markets and this study also used the daily stock price of an individual stock and not index level data.
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