模糊的多标准公司分析

Antonio Marcos Duarte Júnior, Hugo Ghiaroni Albuquerque e Silva
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引用次数: 2

摘要

我们考虑股权估值问题。提出了利用模糊多准则决策分析来解决这一问题。由此产生的方法允许使用股票分析师根据经审计的资产负债表计算出的最常用的倍数,并加上定性标准,如公司治理、可持续性指标和信用评级,以及基于交易价格和交易量的风险指标(流动性和市场)。此外,该建议有助于利用模糊数学将不确定性纳入问题。由此产生的方法被证明是稳健的,并提供了有关不利情况下预期业绩的详细信息,增强了股票分析师和投资组合经理面临的决策过程。为了说明目的,展示了从巴西股票市场获得的数据的数值示例。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Análise Multicritério Nebulosa de Empresas
We consider the problem of equity valuation. The use of fuzzy multicriteria decision analysis is proposed to solve the problem. The resulting methodology allows the use of the multiples most often calculated by equity analysts from audited balance sheets, with the addition of qualitative criteria, such as corporate governance, sustainability indicators and credit ratings, as well as risk measures (liquidity and market) based on trading prices and volumes. Also, the proposal facilitates incorporating uncertainty into the problem with the use of fuzzy mathematics. The resulting methodology proved to be robust and offered detailed information about expected performance under adverse scenarios, enhancing the decision-making process faced by equity analysts and portfolio managers. Numerical examples obtained with data from the Brazilian stock market are exhibited for illustrative purposes.
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